Video: Debise: “A lot of people want to take my spot!” Personally revealing the amazing strength of China’s Zhang Xue Motorcycles! “World No. 2

Video: Debise: “A lot of people want to take my spot!” Personally revealing the amazing strength of China’s Zhang Xue Motorcycles! “World No. 2 + fastest lap” strength makes rivals sit up and take notice. Made in China charges onto the world stage! Some Chinese riders in San Francisco looked down on Zhang Xue Motorcycles, and these people are disappointed! 影片有中英文字幕:德比斯:「很多人都想搶我的位置!」親揭中國的張雪機車驚人實力! “世界第二+最快單圈”實力讓對手刮目相看 中國製造殺進世界賽場! 有些華人中國車手在三藩市看衰張雪機車,這些人失望了!

張雪機車再度站上世界賽事頒獎台!在葡萄牙埃斯托利爾站的激烈競爭中,車手瓦倫丁・德比斯奪下季軍,成功鞏固世界錦標賽第二名,更獲頒倍耐力最快單圈獎!德比斯直言,如今有許多車手與車隊都想爭取這台賽車,甚至不少人想搶下他的位置。他也透露,這項合作計畫起初就讓他充滿信心,沒想到短短一年半前還不存在的賽車,如今已經拿下多場勝利。

https://rumble.com/v7grdji-personally-revealing-the-amazing-strength-of-chinas-zhang-xue-motorcycles-w.html
https://www.tt.site/t/ZPLSe8nkP/
https://weixin.qq.com/sph/A01kizyCLS
https://www.facebook.com/reel/3366905956838483/?mibextid=wwXIfr

Zhang Xue Motorcycles once again stood on the podium of a world event! In the fierce competition at the Estoril round in Portugal, rider Valentin Debise took third place, successfully consolidating second place in the world championship and was also awarded the Pirelli Fastest Lap Award! Debise said bluntly that many riders and teams now want to get this race bike, and quite a few even want to take his spot. He also revealed that this partnership plan filled him with confidence from the very beginning, and he never expected that a race bike that did not even exist just a year and a half ago has now already taken multiple victories.

Video: Anti-Corruption: Hong Kong Succeeds Because It Has the ICAC; China Succeeds Because It Has Xi Jinping — Straight Talk (Part 2), Yu Fei

Video: Anti-Corruption: Hong Kong Succeeds Because It Has the ICAC; China Succeeds Because It Has Xi Jinping — Straight Talk (Part 2), Yu Fei, October 12, 2026. 視頻: 反貪: 香港,勝在有ICAC,中國,勝在有習近平,快人快語(2),余非 2026-10-12

https://www.tt.site/t/ZPLBtCHsU/
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid033kkX5J8o7M4S4SGemHmhua3tCaWzW1gQwPNKvp8EuPEKSDT7yvNNn9UMDnFh8KdAl&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr
https://youtu.be/2i_YHbsp1jc?is=Nu5X14PwO6X_7JoP

This video has Chinese and English subtitles: If you’re planning trip to Hong Kong or the China Greater Bay Area like Shenzhen, please save this video for reference.

This video has Chinese and English subtitles: If you’re planning trip to Hong Kong or the China Greater Bay Area like Shenzhen, please save this video for reference. 影片有中英文字幕: 如果你準備返香港或中國大灣例如深圳,請保留這個視頻作參考,凌晨直擊新皇崗開幕,唔使分兩次查驗, 中國速度: 實測10秒極速過關,配套貼心 wifi夠快 設育嬰室, 「深圳之眼」一眼雙城,B10葵芳、B13中環, 各線巴士班次、票價、上車位置!

核心亮點

  1. 一地兩檢、合作查驗一次放行,排一次隊就完成深港兩地出入境,舊口岸約 30 分鐘,而家最快 5 分鐘內搞掂,自助通道十秒過關
  2. 純客運口岸,24 小時通關,每日最高可處理 20 萬人次過關

A late-night firsthand look at the opening of the new Huanggang Port—no need to go through inspection twice. China Speed: A real test of 10-second ultra-fast clearance, thoughtful facilities, fast enough WiFi, a baby care room. The “Eye of Shenzhen” lets you see two cities at a glance. B10 to Kwai Fong, B13 to Central. Bus schedules, fares, and boarding locations for each route!

Key highlights:

  1. Co-location arrangement, joint inspection and one-time release. You only need to line up once to complete both Shenzhen and Hong Kong immigration procedures. At the old port it took about 30 minutes, but now it can be done in as fast as 5 minutes, with self-service channels clearing you in 10 seconds.
  2. A passenger-only port with 24-hour clearance, capable of handling up to 200,000 passenger trips per day.

https://rumble.com/v7gr5h6-if-youre-planning-trip-to-hong-kong-or-the-china-greater-bay-area-like-shen.html
https://www.tt.site/t/ZPLBpeRHn/
https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AxGEPf9lUh
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid02zemkn4h7KNxak7JoFPrkoQCJ6JAaTj5sc9ax9RrwmnwWtHaYbMVXwJmsLWmhrryKl&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr
https://youtu.be/yEaYo6MDYfM?is=qe0NKfpg0YRdcijC

China’s Hade–Fuman Oilfield: A Breakthrough in Ultra-Deep Oil Exploration and China’s Growing Energy Independence. By Johnson Choi, MBA. International Business Consultant since 1985

China’s Hade–Fuman Oilfield: A Breakthrough in Ultra-Deep Oil Exploration and China’s Growing Energy Independence. By Johnson Choi, MBA. International Business Consultant since 1985

哈得-富滿油田位於塔克拉瑪干沙漠腹地,由哈得遜油田和富滿油田組成,兩者常被比作沙漠裡的「姊妹花」。 作者: 蔡永強,國際財經顧問,1985年至今

The Hade–Fuman Oilfield is located deep in the heart of the Taklamakan Desert in China’s Xinjiang region. It consists of two major oilfields, the Hade Oilfield and the Fuman Oilfield, often described as the “twin flowers of the desert.”

  1. Breaking Through the Technological Barriers of Ultra-Deep Oil Exploration
    Regarding the ultra-deep reservoir development technologies you asked about, the greatest challenge lies in the extreme geological conditions.
    Most of the oil and gas reservoirs are buried between 7,500 and more than 8,000 meters underground, where engineers must overcome four major challenges:
    Extreme drilling depths
    Extremely high temperatures
    Extremely high pressures
    High concentrations of hydrogen sulfide
    These conditions are commonly described in China’s petroleum industry as the “Three Extremes and One High.”
    Successfully overcoming these challenges has required several major technological breakthroughs.
    Innovation in Geological Theory
    Chinese researchers developed a geological theory explaining how strike-slip faults control the formation and distribution of oil and gas reservoirs.
    Applying this theory, they discovered the massive Fuman oil and gas accumulation deep within the Hade Oilfield area, with estimated resources on the scale of one billion metric tons.
    Engineering and Drilling Breakthroughs
    Chinese petroleum engineers successfully addressed two major challenges in ultra-deep drilling: how to drill wells successfully and how to drill them efficiently.
    Major achievements include:
    Average drilling depths exceeding 8,300 meters.
    A cumulative total of 186 ultra-deep wells reaching approximately 8,000 meters.
    The Hade–Fuman Oilfield becoming China’s onshore oilfield with the largest number of ultra-deep wells.
    Improving Efficiency Through Intelligent Technology
    As PetroChina’s largest intelligent oilfield demonstration project, Hade–Fuman uses cloud-based monitoring and management systems to coordinate operations.
    These technologies have increased overall labor productivity by more than 30%.
  2. The Evolution of “One-Run Drilling” Technology
    Although detailed technical documentation regarding the specific implementation of one-run drilling was not available in the search results, broader information about technological improvements and efficiency gains at the Hade–Fuman Oilfield provides valuable insight.
    Key Technologies Accelerating Drilling Operations
    A. Continuous Improvements in One-Run Drilling
    The Tarim Oilfield has continuously upgraded its one-run drilling technology at Fuman.
    The primary objectives are to reduce the number of times drilling equipment must be pulled out of and lowered back into the well and to shorten the overall drilling cycle.
    Combined with more than 180 domestically developed key technologies, including Chinese-made drilling and completion equipment and lost-circulation control while drilling, these improvements have produced significant results.
    The drilling cycle has been reduced to 114.7 days, representing a 20.5% year-on-year reduction.
    B. The “Three Highs and Two Larges” Drilling Strategy
    To address challenging geological formations, engineers employ a combination of:
    High rotational speed
    High pump pressure
    High drilling-fluid flow rate
    Large weight on the drill bit
    High drilling torque
    This approach is not simply about applying more mechanical force.
    Instead, it represents precision engineering based on sophisticated geological analysis and carefully calculated operating parameters.
    C. Domestically Developed High-End Equipment
    More than 180 types or sets of advanced Chinese-made well-completion tools have been successfully deployed, including high-temperature packers meeting the V0 sealing performance standard.
    According to the reported achievements, critical well-completion tools have reached:
    100% independent domestic research and development.
    100% successful field deployment and application.
    These technological advancements demonstrate China’s growing ability to develop and deploy sophisticated equipment for some of the world’s most challenging drilling environments.
  3. From Dependence on Foreign Technology to Greater Energy Independence
    In the past, whenever people talked about petroleum, the Middle East immediately came to mind.
    There was always the concern that China’s energy supplies could be disrupted at the Strait of Malacca, a strategically important maritime passage through which large volumes of imported oil are transported.
    Today, however, China is discovering substantial oil resources beneath its own deserts, including high-quality, light crude oil buried at extraordinary depths.
    The significance is difficult to overstate.
    In the past, China even had to import drilling rigs for ultra-deep exploration.
    Today, China has developed its own:
    Advanced drill bits
    Specialized drilling fluids
    High-pressure wellhead equipment
    Ultra-deep drilling rigs capable of reaching 12,000 meters
    These technologies are increasingly part of China’s own industrial capabilities.
  4. Real Achievements Speak Louder Than Political Rhetoric
    Some people repeatedly claim that China is incapable of developing advanced technologies or overcoming major engineering challenges.
    But consider the facts presented here.
    Chinese engineers have successfully recovered intact rock cores from depths of 8,080 meters underground.
    They have also extracted a cumulative 26 million metric tons of oil and gas from reservoirs located more than 6,000 meters below the surface.
    These achievements cannot be accomplished by shouting political slogans.
    They are the result of decades of scientific research, engineering innovation, industrial development, and the extraordinary dedication of China’s petroleum workers.
    In the middle of one of the world’s most challenging desert environments, Chinese engineers and oilfield workers have overcome obstacles one well at a time.
    Every successful well represents years of accumulated scientific knowledge, practical experience, and technological progress.
  5. Why 26 Million Tons of Oil and Gas Matter
    At first glance, 26 million metric tons may not seem like an astronomical amount.
    Compared with China’s annual petroleum consumption of several hundred million metric tons, it represents a relatively modest quantity.
    But the real significance is not simply the volume of oil and gas produced. It is what these achievements prove technologically.
    They demonstrate that:
    First: Commercial-scale petroleum production is possible from reservoirs located more than 6,000 meters underground.
    Second: Petroleum source rocks can be identified at depths exceeding 8,000 meters.
    Third: There may be additional exploration and development opportunities at even greater depths.
    This represents an important expansion of the technological and geological boundaries of China’s domestic oil and gas industry.
    It also strengthens China’s long-term energy security by reducing technological dependence on foreign suppliers and expanding domestic resource-development capabilities.
  6. Energy Is the Lifeblood of Industrial Civilization
    There is an old Chinese saying:
    「手裡有糧,心裡不慌!」
    “When you have sufficient supplies in your own hands, you have no reason to panic.”
    Energy is the food that sustains modern industry.
    Without reliable energy supplies, manufacturing, transportation, infrastructure, national defense, and economic development cannot function effectively.
    China’s achievements in ultra-deep petroleum exploration are therefore about much more than simply extracting oil from beneath the Taklamakan Desert.
    They demonstrate the country’s ability to push technological boundaries, strengthen domestic industrial capabilities, and build greater resilience in its energy supply chain.
    The deeper China drills, the further it advances the technological frontier of its energy industry.
    And every successful ultra-deep well is another reminder that technological progress is not achieved through rhetoric, but through scientific research, engineering excellence, and the determination of the people who make it happen.

關於你問的「超深層開發技術」,它的核心挑戰在於油氣藏普遍埋深在 7500米至8000多米,面臨超深、超高溫、超高壓、高含硫的「三超一高」極限環境。能啃下這塊硬骨頭,主要靠這幾點:

· 地質理論創新:發展「走滑斷裂控儲控藏」理論,在哈得遜油田深處找到了10億噸級的富滿大油氣區。
· 工程技術攻堅:解決了超深井「打得成、打得快」的難題,平均鑽探深度突破8300米,累計鑽成186口8000米級超深井,是我國陸上超深井最多的油田。
· 智能化提效:作為中國石油最大的智能化示範工程,透過「雲端」管控,全員勞動生產率提升了 30%以上。

當前沒有搜到關於「一趟鑽」技術具體細節的詳細資料,但搜索到了哈得-富滿油田在提速提效方面的整體進展和核心技術方向,可以供你參考:

鑽井提速的核心技術方向

· 「一趟鑽」迭代升級:塔里木油田在富滿油田持續推動「一趟鑽」技術升級,目標是減少起下鑽次數、縮短鑽井週期。配合國產化鑽完井工具及隨鑽堵漏等 180餘項國產化關鍵技術,鑽井週期已降至 114.7天,同比縮短 20.5%。
· 「三高兩大」參數策略:針對地層特點,採用高轉速、高泵壓、高排量、大鑽壓、大扭矩的組合策略。這是基於地質認識精準計算的「巧幹」,而非盲目蠻幹。
· 國產化工具支撐:V0等級高溫封隔器等 180餘套國產高端完井工具成功應用,關鍵完井工具實現 100% 自主研發、現場應用和成功率。

以前一提石油就是中東,想到馬六甲海峽被人卡脖子。現在自家沙漠底下就躺着這麼多,還是超深層的優質輕質油。

超深井這塊,以前連鑽機都要進口。現在鑽頭、鑽井液、井口裝備、12000米鑽機,全成了咱自己的家底。

有人說中國這也不行那也不行。可你看地下8080米的石頭都能完整取上來,2600萬噸油氣從6000米以下挖出來,這是喊口號喊不出來的。這是石油工人在沙漠里一口井一口井啃出來的。

2600萬噸不算天文數字,跟全國每年幾億噸的消費量比,不算多。但意義不在量,在於證明了:6000米以下能成規模產油,8000米以下能找到生油岩,再往下還有空間。能源這東西,是工業的糧食,手裡有糧心裡不慌!

Video with Chinese & English subtitles: From our home at “Zhuhai Tianmao International Peninsula Garden,” it’s just a 5-minute walk to Zhuhai’s largest shopping mall, Jinhua Hualian Mall (Jinwan Huafa Mall)

Video with Chinese & English subtitles: From our home at “Zhuhai Tianmao International Peninsula Garden,” it’s just a 5-minute walk to 🤩 Zhuhai’s largest shopping mall, Jinhua Hualian Mall (Jinwan Huafa Mall) 😍 – Colorful Grand Plaza 🎊👍 There’s international cuisine with great value for money at 1/3 the price of Hawaii and San Francisco, no need to pay 30% tax and tips, and the service attitude is first-class — the waitstaff won’t give you attitude! Large artificial lake – Central Lake 🏞️🌅 Lakeside Art Center 🖼️🎨🎭🎼 Library 📚 Safe and romantic night views anytime 🌌🌃🎀 (Jinwan District, Zhuhai City) 視頻有中英文字幕:從我們家“珠海天茂國際半島花園”步行五分鐘就到🤩珠海最大商塲“金灣華發商都”😍 – 繽紛大廣場🎊👍 有性價比高的國際美食是夏威夷和三藩市的1/3價錢,不用付30%的稅和小費,而且服務態度一流,服務員不會給你面色看!大型人工湖 – 中心湖🏞️🌅 湖畔藝術中心🖼️🎨🎭🎼 圖書館📚 安全的浪漫夜景🌌🌃🎀 (珠海市金灣區)

https://rumble.com/v7gqba6-from-our-zhuhai-home-just-a-5-minute-walk-to-zhuhais-largest-shopping-mall.html
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZPLkEuggd/
https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AEhOCTidOJ
https://www.facebook.com/reel/1471476035044381/?mibextid=wwXIfr

Why Western Containment May Be the Best Thing That Ever Happened to China. By Johnson Choi, MBA. International Business Consultant since 1985

Why Western Containment May Be the Best Thing That Ever Happened to China. By Johnson Choi, MBA. International Business Consultant since 1985

為什麼西方對中國的圍堵,可能反而成為中國發展史上最大的一件好事?作者:蔡永強,工商管理碩士(MBA)
國際財經顧問(1985年至今)

一、沒有競爭,就沒有進步- 祖父和父親教導我的人生道理

在我成長的歲月裡,祖父和父親經常教導我們一個簡單卻非常有力量的道理:

「沒有競爭,就沒有進步。」

這句話伴隨着我走過大半生,尤其是在我從事國際商業及顧問工作超過四十年的歲月裡,更讓我深刻體會到其中的智慧。

隨着年齡增長,見識過世界各地不同的社會、文化、經濟體系和商業環境,我越來越相信,競爭、逆境,甚至來自外部的壓力,都可以成為推動個人成長、科技進步,以及國家發展的強大力量。

正因如此,我認為西方國家試圖圍堵中國崛起的種種措施,最終可能反而成為西方在無意之間送給中國的一份最珍貴的禮物。

西方原本希望透過圍堵迫使中國屈服,但結果可能恰恰相反——圍堵反而正在迫使中國變得更加強大、更具創新能力、更能自力更生,而且比以往任何時候都更加堅定。

二、西方的雙重標準:究竟誰才有權享受富裕的生活?

讓我們回顧美國前總統奧巴馬在2010年4月發表的一番備受爭議的言論。

當時,奧巴馬接受澳洲電視台訪問時警告,如果超過十億中國人民都採用與美國人和澳洲人相同的消費模式,將會對全球環境造成難以持續的後果。

他的言論主要圍繞資源消耗、環境保護,以及建立更可持續發展的經濟模式。

然而,在我看來,這番話背後其實引出了一個更加深層次的問題:

為什麼西方國家在過去工業化和經濟發展的過程中,沒有對自己施加同樣的限制,但當中國人民追求同等生活水平時,卻突然被要求接受種種限制?

過去幾代人,西方國家享盡工業化、大量消費、廉價能源、汽車普及、現代化住宅,以及生活水平持續提高所帶來的好處。

他們的人民享受着經濟發展的成果。

然而,當中國開始讓數以億計的人民擺脫貧困,並追求同樣的發展機會時,國際社會卻突然開始討論:地球究竟能否承受中國人民也過上富裕生活?

這種說法令我深感不安。

在我看來,這類論調可能進一步鞏固一種不平等的國際經濟秩序:西方人民已經享有的高生活水平,被視為理所當然的既得權利;但中國人民追求同樣的生活,卻被描繪成一個全球性問題。

我堅決反對這種雙重標準。

中國人民與美國人、歐洲人,以及世界上任何其他國家的人民一樣,都有權享有繁榮、尊嚴、現代化基礎建設、科技進步,以及更美好的生活。

環境可持續發展當然是全球共同關注的重要議題。

但相關原則必須公平適用於所有國家,而不能變成限制後發工業國家經濟發展的方便藉口。

三、為什麼過度安逸,反而可能扼殺孩子的上進心?

這又讓我想起祖父和父親從小教導我的道理。

競爭能夠激發動力。

挑戰能夠磨練品格。

艱苦的環境,有時更能培養出非凡的意志與決心。

然而,我也觀察到,在一些原本充滿愛心、經濟條件相當不錯的家庭裡,卻出現了完全相反的情況。

有些父母,尤其是部分中產階級家庭的家長,因為太希望保護自己的孩子,不想讓他們吃苦,結果反而在無意之間,剝奪了孩子培養獨立能力、抗逆精神、上進心,以及自律能力的機會。

父母為孩子提供一切。

替他們解決所有問題。

替他們清除每一個障礙。

甚至不願意讓孩子承受任何失望或挫折。

結果,在某些情況下,這些父母彷彿把孩子當作需要終身呵護的寵物般寵愛,而不是把他們培養成將來必須獨立面對社會、參與競爭、解決問題,以及自力更生的成年人。

當然,家庭經濟富裕並不代表孩子必然失去上進心;同樣,貧窮也不保證一個人將來必定成功。

但如果孩子從來不需要面對挑戰,不需要為自己的決定承擔後果,也沒有機會學習克服困難,他們可能永遠無法發掘自己真正的潛能。

父母的愛,應該是幫助孩子準備好面對真實世界,而不是永遠把他們保護在溫室之中。

四、四十五年來觀察美國華人移民家庭,讓我明白了什麼?

過去四十五年,我親眼見證了不少美國華人移民家庭的成長歷程,也觀察到一個十分值得深思的現象。

在我認識的華人家庭之中,一些最有上進心、最勤奮、最有成就的下一代,往往來自父母從事藍領工作的家庭。

他們的父母可能是餐館員工、工廠工人、建築工人、清潔工、小生意經營者,以及其他辛勤工作的移民。

不少父母每天長時間工作,有些甚至同時兼做兩份工作,目的只有一個:

讓子女有飯吃、有地方住、有書讀,並且獲得自己年輕時沒有機會享有的發展條件。

這些孩子從小親眼看着父母為家庭犧牲自己的舒適生活、休閒時間,甚至個人理想,只為讓下一代有更好的未來。

然後,一件令人感動的事情發生了。

這些孩子的眼睛裡,開始燃起一團火。

那是一團渴望改變命運、追求更好生活的火。

他們希望接受更好的教育。

希望找到更有前途的工作。

希望早日實現經濟獨立。

更希望爭取那些父母雖然努力工作,卻無法直接提供給他們的機會。

他們未必擁有最新款的玩具、最昂貴的名牌衣服,也未必享有凡事都有人安排妥當的舒適生活。

然而,很多人卻擁有比金錢和物質更加寶貴的東西:

對成功的渴望、堅定的意志、自律精神,以及對父母犧牲的感恩之心。

我也親眼看着不少這樣的孩子長大成人,成為成功的專業人士、企業家、工程師、醫生,以及各行各業的傑出人才。

然而,最令我感動的,並不單單是他們取得了多少財富或事業成就。

而是很多人始終沒有忘記自己的根。

他們記得父母當年為家庭所作出的犧牲。

當自己有能力之後,也願意主動在經濟上支持父母,並在父母年老時照顧他們。

對我來說,這正好說明,逆境有時不但能夠培養成功的人,更能培養懂得感恩、有責任感,以及具有良好品格的人。

我並不是說所有工人階級家庭的孩子都一定成功,也不是說富裕家庭的孩子必然缺乏上進心。

我想強調的是:

當艱苦環境與父母的愛、教育機會,以及正確的價值觀結合起來時,往往能夠激發出人類非凡的潛能。

而我在中國近幾十年的發展歷程中,也看到了十分相似的道理。

五、西方的圍堵,正在造就一個更加堅定的中國

多年來,美國及部分西方盟友陸續推出各種限制措施,試圖限制中國獲取某些先進科技、敏感設備,以及進入重要戰略市場的機會。

半導體、人工智能、先進製造業、電訊科技,以及其他關鍵產業,已經成為地緣政治競爭最激烈的領域。

西方政府提出的理由,包括國家安全、科技依賴,以及經濟競爭等問題。

然而,從中國的角度來看,這些限制措施同時傳遞了一個再清楚不過的訊息:

如果中國希望掌握自己的未來,就不能永遠依賴外國提供那些關係到國家發展與安全的關鍵技術。

試想一下,當你告訴一個擁有超過十四億人口的國家,某些重要科技和發展機會可能永遠不會向他們開放,結果會發生什麼事?

你等於給了這個國家一個強而有力的理由,去尋找另一條出路。

你促使工程師更加努力工作。

你激勵科學家尋求新的科技突破。

你推動大學培養更多本土科研人才。

你促使製造企業不斷提升自身技術水平。

你鼓勵企業家研發可以取代外國技術的產品。

而更重要的是:

你把科技自主,從單純的經濟發展問題,提升成關乎國家尊嚴、民族自豪感,以及長遠生存能力的重要使命。

西方的圍堵政策,或許能夠在短期內達到某些戰略目標。

但從長遠來看,這些限制同時也為中國創造了更強烈的動機,推動中國減少對西方科技的依賴。

當然,這並不代表任何一項制裁或限制,都必然自動帶來科技突破。

科研成果需要長期投資、專業知識、制度支持,以及無數次失敗之後仍然堅持不懈的努力。

但歷史一次又一次證明:

需求與競爭,往往正是推動創新的強大動力。

六、今天的中國,早已不是四十年前的中國

西方決策者可能犯下的最大錯誤之一,就是仍然以幾十年前的舊觀念來衡量今天的中國。

中國早已不再只是一個依靠廉價勞動力、外國投資和進口技術的製造業基地。

今天的中國,已經成為全球主要工業強國之一,擁有龐大的基礎建設、巨大的製造能力、先進的科研機構,以及日益成熟的本土供應鏈。

中國在高速鐵路、電動汽車、電池、再生能源、電訊科技、工業生產,以及其他多個領域所取得的成就,已經深刻改變全球經濟競爭格局。

當然,在尖端半導體及部分高端技術方面,中國仍然面對重要的技術限制和挑戰。

但正因為存在這些挑戰,中國才會持續投入大量資源,推動科學研究、本土製造能力,以及科技自主發展。

我認為最值得關注的一點是:

西方政府越是強硬地限制中國獲取先進科技,中國就可能越有決心自行研發替代技術。

你或許可以限制對手購買某一種產品。

但你無法永遠消滅對手自行發明競爭產品的意志。

這正是我認為圍堵政策作為長期戰略,所存在的一個根本弱點。

七、以購買力平價計算,中國早已是全球第一大經濟體

還有一個重要的經濟現實,值得大家認真思考。

如果按照購買力平價(Purchasing Power Parity,簡稱PPP)計算,中國已經是全球第一大經濟體。

根據國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)2026年4月的預測:

  • 中國:按購買力平價計算,國內生產總值約為44.3萬億國際元。
  • 美國:按購買力平價計算,國內生產總值約為32.4萬億國際元。

換句話說,按照這種計算方式,中國經濟規模比美國大約高出37%。

購買力平價會考慮不同國家國內物價水平的差異,因此有助比較各個經濟體實際生產的商品與服務總量。

當然,如果按照市場匯率計算的名義GDP,美國仍然是全球最大的經濟體。

美國在金融市場、國際資本流動,以及全球貨幣影響力方面,也繼續保持明顯優勢。

然而,中國在購買力平價方面所反映出來的經濟規模,正好說明中國已經具備極為龐大的國內實際生產能力。

與此同時,美國亦正面對嚴重的長期財政挑戰,包括龐大的聯邦政府債務、持續的財政赤字,以及不斷增加的國債利息負擔。

我們不應低估美國的經濟實力。

美國仍然擁有世界頂尖大學、先進科技企業、成熟而龐大的資本市場,以及強大的創新能力。

但同樣地,如果有人低估中國的實力,或者認為美國可以在缺乏競爭的情況下,永遠維持其金融與科技優勢,那也是十分不明智的想法。

八、美元的強大地位,並不能保證美國永遠稱霸世界

美國其中一項最重要的戰略優勢,至今仍然是美元在國際金融體系中的特殊地位。

美元在國際貿易、外匯交易、金融市場,以及各國中央銀行外匯儲備中的主導地位,賦予美國極大的經濟與地緣政治影響力。

這種優勢同時增強了華盛頓實施金融制裁,以及影響國際金融網絡的能力。

但金融影響力,並不等於無窮無盡的工業實力。

一個國家的長遠競爭力,還取決於它是否有能力製造產品、推動創新、培養人才、興建基礎建設、發展科技,以及生產世界各地消費者真正願意購買的商品。

中國龐大的製造業基礎,令它在上述多個領域具有相當強的競爭優勢。

當然,美國除了美元之外,仍然擁有許多重要優勢。

而中國本身亦面對不少挑戰,包括人口結構變化、房地產市場問題、地方政府債務,以及進入海外市場時遇到的障礙。

然而,我認為華盛頓如果一方面試圖限制中國的經濟發展,另一方面卻認為單靠美元的金融主導地位,就能夠永遠維持美國的全球優勢,這將是一種十分危險的戰略判斷。

擁有全球主要儲備貨幣的地位,確實是一項非凡優勢;但它絕對不能取代持續的工業創新,以及真正的經濟競爭力。

九、你不可能一面迫使一個國家更加努力,一面幻想把它打回石器時代

那些相信透過經濟制裁、出口管制、關稅,以及科技封鎖,就能迫使中國重新陷入經濟落後的人,可能從根本上誤判了形勢。

中國已經建立起龐大的工業生產能力、技術熟練的勞動人口、現代化基礎建設,以及巨大的國內市場。

外部限制當然會帶來成本、延緩某些科技進展,甚至造成實際的經濟困難。

但同時,這些限制也可能鼓勵中國發展本土替代產品、進行更多科技實驗、推動產業多元化,以及建立不再過度依賴外國的供應鏈。

外國限制越是威脅中國取得關鍵技術的能力,中國就越有動機研發那些不容易再被外國切斷供應的核心技術。

我們必須明白一個重要分別:

拖慢一個競爭對手的發展,與永久擊敗這個競爭對手,完全是兩回事。

圍堵政策或許能夠減慢中國在某些產業的發展速度,但同時也可能進一步激發中國擺脫西方科技依賴的決心。

這正是為什麼我相信,西方圍堵中國的長遠結果,最終可能與當初制定這些政策的人所預期的完全不同。

十、祖父和父親說得對:沒有競爭,就沒有進步

經過四十多年從事國際商業及財經顧問工作的經驗,我深深體會到:

真正的競爭,並不是我們應該害怕的東西。

相反,競爭是一種值得尊重的力量。

競爭迫使企業改善產品、降低成本、提高效率,以及投資更先進的技術。

競爭促使個人更加努力、學習新技能,並培養更強的應變及解決問題能力。

競爭也可以迫使國家重新審視自身弱點,改善制度,並鞏固長遠發展的基礎。

就像當年那些勤奮工作的華人移民家庭,他們的子女因為渴望更美好的未來,而培養出非凡的上進心和奮鬥精神。

中國在面對西方圍堵之後,也可能逐步建立起更強大的科技自主能力,以及更具韌性的工業體系。

當然,這種結果並不是必然發生的。

中國能否真正取得成功,仍然取決於是否制定合理的政策、鼓勵企業家精神、保持科學研究的開放性、持續投資,以及有效克服各種真實存在的經濟挑戰。

但有一點,我認為非常清楚:

中國追求進步、突破限制,以及掌握自身未來的動力,是不容忽視的。

我的祖父和父親,在今天這場大國地緣政治競爭出現之前很久,就已經明白這個道理。

沒有競爭,就沒有進步。

沒有挑戰,就難以培養堅定的決心。

沒有逆境,就難以磨練強大的韌性。

而有時候,當你面對一個本來就充滿決心的競爭對手時,你所能犯下的最大錯誤,就是再給他一個更強烈、非成功不可的理由。

十一、結語:西方以為自己正在圍堵中國,卻可能反而幫助中國變得更強大

如果西方圍堵中國的目的是要阻止中國繼續壯大,那麼從長遠來看,這套戰略最終可能適得其反。

這些政策不但未必能夠永久削弱中國,反而可能激勵新一代中國科學家、工程師、企業家,以及工業領袖,努力實現一些過去被認為不可能達成的目標。

我認為,最具建設性的國際關係,應該建立在公平競爭、互相尊重,以及在共同利益領域互相合作的基礎上。

而不是認為,一個文明的繁榮,必須以另一個文明的衰落作為代價。

世界足夠廣闊,完全容得下美國人民和中國人民同時追求更美好的生活。

中國追求繁榮發展,並不需要得到西方的批准。

西方也不能一方面剝奪其他國家的公平競爭機會,另一方面卻幻想自己的優勢可以永遠維持下去。

我的祖父和父親從小就教導我:

「沒有競爭,就沒有進步。」

今天,當我回顧中國的發展歷程,再看看當前的國際形勢,我更加相信這句話所蘊含的智慧,至今仍然具有極其重要的現實意義。

西方或許以為自己正在成功圍堵中國。

但從長遠來看,他們可能正在無意之間,幫助中國建立一個更加獨立、更具競爭力,而且將來更難被任何外部力量圍堵的國家。

作者:蔡永強,工商管理碩士(MBA)
國際財經顧問(1985年至今)

No Competition, No Progress — A Lesson From My Grandfather and Father

When I was growing up, my grandfather and father repeatedly taught us a simple but powerful lesson:

“No competition, no progress.”

Those five words have stayed with me throughout my life, particularly during my more than four decades working in international business and consulting.

The older I become, and the more I observe the world, the more convinced I am that competition, adversity, and even external pressure can become powerful forces for personal growth, technological advancement, and national development.

That is precisely why I believe Western attempts to contain China’s rise may ultimately turn out to be one of the greatest unintended gifts the West has ever given China.

Instead of bringing China to its knees, containment may be forcing China to become stronger, more innovative, more self-reliant, and more determined than ever.

The Western Double Standard: Who Has the Right to Prosper?

Let us revisit a controversial statement made by former U.S. President Barack Obama in April 2010.

During an interview with Australian television, Obama warned that if more than a billion Chinese people adopted the same consumption patterns as Americans and Australians, the environmental consequences would be unsustainable.

His remarks were framed around resource consumption, environmental protection, and the need for a more sustainable economic model.

But I believe those remarks raised a much deeper question:

Why should Chinese people be expected to accept limitations that Western societies historically did not impose on themselves during their own industrialization and economic development?

For generations, Western countries enjoyed the benefits of industrialization, mass consumption, inexpensive energy, automobiles, modern housing, and rising living standards.

Their citizens enjoyed the fruits of economic progress.

Yet when China began lifting hundreds of millions of people out of poverty and pursuing those same opportunities, suddenly the discussion turned toward whether the planet could afford China’s prosperity.

I find this deeply troubling.

My interpretation is that such arguments can reinforce an unequal international economic order in which Western living standards are treated as established entitlements, while China’s aspirations are viewed as a global problem.

I firmly reject that double standard.

The Chinese people have just as much right to prosperity, dignity, modern infrastructure, technological progress, and a better quality of life as Americans, Europeans, or anyone else.

Environmental sustainability is a legitimate global concern. But it must apply equally to every nation, not become a convenient justification for restricting the development of countries that arrived later at the industrial table.

Why Too Much Comfort Can Destroy Ambition

This brings me back to the lessons my grandfather and father taught me.

Competition creates motivation. Challenges build character. Hardship can produce extraordinary determination.

But sometimes, I have observed the opposite happening inside otherwise loving and financially comfortable families.

Some parents, particularly in middle-class households, become so determined to protect their children from hardship that they unintentionally deprive them of the opportunities needed to develop independence, resilience, ambition, and self-discipline.

They provide everything, solve every problem, remove every obstacle, and shield their children from disappointment.

In effect, they sometimes treat their children like pampered pets rather than future adults who must learn to compete, solve problems, and survive independently.

Of course, financial comfort does not automatically destroy ambition, just as poverty does not guarantee success.

But when children never experience challenges, never face meaningful consequences, and never learn to overcome difficulties, they may never discover their true potential.

Love should prepare children for the real world, not permanently shelter them from it.

What 45 Years of Observing Chinese Immigrant Families Have Taught Me

Over the past 45 years, I have personally witnessed an interesting pattern among Chinese immigrant families in the United States.

Some of the most ambitious, hardworking, and successful children I have encountered came from families whose parents worked in blue-collar occupations.

Their parents were restaurant workers, factory employees, construction workers, cleaners, small-business operators, and other hardworking immigrants.

Many worked long hours, sometimes holding two jobs, simply to provide their children with food, shelter, education, and opportunities they themselves never enjoyed.

These children often grew up watching their parents sacrifice comfort, leisure, and personal ambitions for the next generation.

And something remarkable happened.

They developed a fire in their eyes.

They wanted more from life.

They wanted better education, better careers, financial independence, and opportunities their parents could not afford to give them.

They did not always have the newest toys, the most expensive clothes, or the luxury of having everything handed to them.

But many possessed something far more valuable: hunger, determination, discipline, and an appreciation for sacrifice.

I have also witnessed many of these children grow into successful professionals, business owners, engineers, doctors, and other accomplished individuals.

What impressed me most was not simply their financial success.

It was that many never forgot where they came from.

They remembered their parents’ sacrifices and, when circumstances allowed, willingly supported and cared for them as they grew older.

To me, that is a beautiful example of how adversity can help create not only success, but gratitude and character.

This is not to suggest that every working-class child succeeds or that children from comfortable families lack motivation. My point is that hardship, when accompanied by love, opportunity, and strong values, can sometimes produce extraordinary human potential.

And I see a powerful parallel with China’s development.

Western Containment Is Creating a More Determined China

For years, the United States and some of its Western allies have introduced restrictions intended to limit China’s access to certain advanced technologies, sensitive equipment, and strategic markets.

Semiconductors, artificial intelligence, advanced manufacturing, telecommunications, and other critical industries have become arenas of intense geopolitical competition.

The stated Western concerns include national security, technological dependence, and economic competition.

But from China’s perspective, these restrictions also send an unmistakable message:

If China wants to secure its future, it cannot depend indefinitely on foreign countries for technologies essential to its development and national security.

And what happens when you tell a nation of more than 1.4 billion people that certain opportunities and technologies may be permanently denied to them?

You give that nation a powerful reason to find another way.

You encourage its engineers to work harder.

You encourage its scientists to pursue breakthroughs.

You encourage its universities to develop domestic talent.

You encourage its manufacturers to improve their capabilities.

You encourage its entrepreneurs to develop alternatives to foreign technology.

And, perhaps most importantly, you turn technological independence into a matter of national pride.

Western containment may achieve some short-term strategic objectives, but it also creates a powerful long-term incentive for China to reduce its dependence on the West.

This does not mean every restriction will automatically produce success. Technological breakthroughs require years of investment, scientific knowledge, institutional support, and sometimes failure after failure.

But history repeatedly demonstrates that necessity and competition can become extraordinary engines of innovation.

China Is Not the China of 40 Years Ago

One of the greatest mistakes Western policymakers can make is to evaluate today’s China through the assumptions of the past.

China is no longer simply a low-cost manufacturing destination dependent on foreign investment and imported technology.

It has become a major industrial power with extensive infrastructure, enormous manufacturing capacity, advanced research institutions, and increasingly sophisticated domestic supply chains.

Its achievements in high-speed rail, electric vehicles, batteries, renewable energy, telecommunications, industrial production, and several other sectors have substantially changed the global competitive landscape.

There are still important areas, particularly leading-edge semiconductors and certain advanced technologies, where China faces significant constraints.

But those challenges are precisely why China continues investing so heavily in scientific research, domestic manufacturing capabilities, and technological self-reliance.

What I find particularly interesting is the possibility that the more aggressively Western governments attempt to restrict China’s access to technology, the more determined China may become to develop its own alternatives.

You may be able to restrict access to a product, but you cannot permanently eliminate the motivation to invent a competing product.

That is the fundamental weakness of containment as a long-term strategy.

China Is Already the World’s Largest Economy by Purchasing Power Parity

There is another economic reality that deserves serious attention.

Measured by purchasing power parity, or PPP, China is already the world’s largest economy.

According to the International Monetary Fund’s April 2026 projections, China’s PPP-adjusted GDP is approximately 44.3 trillion international dollars, compared with approximately 32.4 trillion for the United States.

In other words, China’s economy is roughly 37% larger than America’s when measured using this method.

PPP adjusts for differences in domestic price levels and therefore provides a useful comparison of the real volume of goods and services produced across economies.

Of course, the United States remains larger when measured by nominal GDP at market exchange rates. It also continues to hold major advantages in financial markets, international capital flows, and global currency influence.

Nevertheless, China’s PPP position reflects its tremendous domestic productive capacity.

Meanwhile, the United States faces serious long-term fiscal challenges, including an enormous federal debt burden, persistent budget deficits, and rising debt-servicing costs.

American economic strength should not be underestimated. The United States remains a formidable global power with leading universities, advanced technology companies, deep capital markets, and considerable innovative capabilities.

But it would be equally foolish to underestimate China or assume that American financial and technological advantages can be maintained indefinitely without competition.

The U.S. Dollar Is Powerful — But It Cannot Guarantee Permanent Dominance

One of America’s greatest strategic advantages remains the international role of the U.S. dollar.

The dollar’s dominance in international trade, foreign-exchange transactions, financial markets, and central-bank reserves provides the United States with substantial economic and geopolitical influence.

It also strengthens Washington’s ability to impose financial sanctions and influence international financial networks.

But financial influence is not the same thing as unlimited industrial strength.

A nation’s long-term competitiveness also depends on the ability to manufacture, innovate, educate, build infrastructure, develop technology, and produce goods that people around the world want to buy.

China’s manufacturing base gives it considerable strengths in many of these areas.

The United States still possesses significant advantages beyond the dollar, and China faces its own challenges, including demographic pressures, property-sector difficulties, local-government debt, and international market access.

Nonetheless, I believe it is dangerous for Washington to assume that financial dominance alone can preserve America’s global position while attempting to restrict China’s economic progress.

A reserve currency is an extraordinary advantage, but it is not a substitute for continuous industrial innovation and economic competitiveness.

You Cannot Send a Nation Back to the Stone Age by Making It Work Harder

Those who believe that sanctions, export controls, tariffs, and technological restrictions can somehow force China back into economic backwardness may be misreading the situation.

China has already developed vast industrial capabilities, a highly skilled technical workforce, sophisticated infrastructure, and a large domestic market.

Restrictions can impose costs, delay progress, and create real economic difficulties.

But they can also encourage domestic substitution, technological experimentation, industrial diversification, and the development of alternative supply chains.

The more foreign restrictions threaten China’s access to critical technology, the greater China’s incentive becomes to develop capabilities that cannot easily be taken away.

There is an important distinction between slowing a competitor and permanently defeating one.

Containment may slow China’s progress in certain sectors, but it may also accelerate China’s determination to build a future beyond Western technological dependence.

That is why I believe the long-term consequences of containment may be very different from what its architects intended.

My Grandfather and Father Were Right: No Competition, No Progress

After more than four decades in international business, I have learned that genuine competition is not something to fear.

It is something to respect.

Competition forces businesses to improve their products, lower costs, increase efficiency, and invest in better technologies.

It forces individuals to work harder, learn new skills, and become more resourceful.

And it can force nations to reconsider their weaknesses and strengthen their foundations.

Just as the children of hardworking immigrant families often developed tremendous ambition because they wanted a better future, China may emerge from Western containment with greater technological independence and industrial resilience.

That outcome is not guaranteed. Success will depend on sound policies, entrepreneurship, scientific openness, investment, and the ability to overcome genuine economic challenges.

But the motivation is unmistakable.

My grandfather and father understood this principle long before the present geopolitical rivalry began.

No competition, no progress.
No challenge, no determination.
No adversity, no resilience.

And sometimes, the greatest mistake you can make with a determined competitor is to give that competitor an even stronger reason to succeed.

Final Thought

If the objective of Western containment is to prevent China from becoming stronger, the strategy may ultimately prove self-defeating.

Instead of permanently weakening China, it may encourage a new generation of Chinese scientists, engineers, entrepreneurs, and industrial leaders to achieve what once appeared impossible.

The most constructive path would be fair competition, mutual respect, and cooperation where interests overlap — not the assumption that one civilization’s prosperity must come at the expense of another.

The world is large enough for both Americans and Chinese to pursue better lives.

China does not need the West’s permission to pursue prosperity. And the West cannot expect to preserve its advantages forever by denying others the opportunity to compete.

My grandfather and father taught me that competition creates progress.

Looking at China today, I believe their wisdom is as relevant as ever.

The West may believe it is containing China. But in the long run, it may be helping to create a China that is more independent, more competitive, and harder to contain than ever before.

By Johnson Choi, MBA
International Business Consultant since 1985

The West’s False Narrative of China’s “Overcapacity”: A Double Standard Rooted in History. By Johnson Choi, MBA. International Business Consultant since 1985

The West’s False Narrative of China’s “Overcapacity”: A Double Standard Rooted in History. By Johnson Choi, MBA. International Business Consultant since 1985

西方炒作中國「產能過剩」的虛假論調:一場根植於歷史的雙重標準. 作者:蔡永強,工商管理碩士(MBA)
國際財經顧問(1985年至今)

西方國家指責中國存在所謂「工業產能過剩」的問題,這種說法實在值得我們深入審視。

這究竟是一個真正的經濟問題,還是西方為了遏制中國日益增強的工業實力與經濟競爭力,而刻意製造出來的另一套方便好用的政治論述?

我從事國際商業及財經顧問工作已經超過四十年,對於這種指控,我認為背後反映出來的問題,遠比表面所見更值得深思。

首先,我要把一件事情說清楚:我不打算逐一分析世界上每一個國家。

事實上,幾乎所有主要出口國,都會生產超過本國市場需求的某些商品。這正正就是國際貿易存在的原因!

如果一個國家生產商品供應出口,就等於「產能過剩」,那麼美國、德國、日本、南韓、英國,以及世界上無數其他出口型經濟體,豈不是同樣應該受到這種指控?

既然如此,為甚麼西方偏偏要針對中國?

一、歷史總是以驚人相似的方式重演

讓我們把時光倒流大約二百年。

在十八及十九世紀,英國及其他西方貿易國家,大量購買中國的茶葉、絲綢及瓷器。

當時,中國製造的商品深受西方消費者歡迎,需求極為龐大。由於西方缺乏足夠受到中國市場歡迎的商品,西方商人經常需要使用白銀支付從中國進口的貨物。

但是,當時又有誰指責中國「產能過剩」呢?

根本沒有!

中國只不過是生產了外國消費者願意花錢購買的優質商品。

然而,這種貿易不平衡,卻令英國深感不滿。

英國商人沒有選擇接受市場現實,也沒有積極開發更多中國消費者願意購買、具有競爭力的產品,反而大規模擴張利潤驚人、卻對中國社會造成巨大破壞的鴉片貿易。

美國商人當年亦有參與對華鴉片貿易。

當中國政府決心打擊鴉片輸入,並於1839年在虎門銷毀查獲的鴉片時,英國竟然選擇以軍事武力回應,最終發動第一次鴉片戰爭。

這場戰爭對中國造成災難性的後果:軍事失敗、不平等條約、領土割讓,以及往後數十年的外國勢力干涉。

這段歷史給我們一個十分清楚的教訓:當西方列強無法透過正常商業貿易取得自己想要的經濟利益時,英國竟然選擇動用武力,迫使中國接受其要求。

二、二百年後,貿易不平衡再次出現

時至今日,美國、歐盟及英國,每年都從中國購買大量消費品及工業製成品。

為甚麼?

因為中國製造商在價格、生產規模、基礎設施、科技能力,以及日益提升的產品品質方面,已經建立了極為強大的國際競爭優勢。

無論西方消費者是否意識到這一點,他們每天都在享受中國製造產品所帶來的便利與實惠。

然而,當中國製造業的成功帶來龐大貿易順差時,西方政客卻愈來愈喜歡把中國的競爭優勢,形容為所謂「產能過剩」。

這裡存在一個非常明顯、值得我們質疑的雙重標準。

當西方跨國企業主導全球市場時,他們的出口成績被讚揚為「強大競爭力」、「科技創新」及「自由企業精神」。

但是,當中國企業取得相似成就時,同樣的競爭力卻突然被描繪成一種「威脅」。

為甚麼同一套經濟原則,當西方受益時就值得讚揚,當中國受益時卻要受到譴責?

這究竟是自由貿易,還是只容許西方勝出的選擇性自由貿易?

三、你不能一方面限制中國購買,另一方面又抱怨中國賣得太多!

西方貿易政策還存在另一個重大矛盾。

多年來,美國及部分盟友持續限制向中國出售先進半導體、晶片製造設備,以及其他敏感高科技產品。

這些出口限制,往往以「國家安全」作為理由。

但是,不論其政治理由如何,這些限制同時阻止了原本願意購買相關產品的中國企業進行正常商業交易。

因此,西方政府在討論對華貿易逆差時,不能只談中國出口多少商品,卻刻意忽略自己限制對中國出口所造成的影響。

如果中國企業原本願意花費巨額資金購買西方先進科技產品,卻因為政府禁令而無法成交,那麼這些失去的出口機會,自然會影響雙邊貿易關係。

我並不是說,只要取消所有高科技出口限制,中國的貿易順差便會完全消失。

國際貿易收支涉及許多因素,包括國民儲蓄、投資、消費需求、匯率,以及各國的產業政策。

但是,一個國家不能一方面禁止中國購買自己想買的產品,另一方面又假裝這些禁令對雙邊貿易完全沒有影響。

這種說法既不全面,也不是一種真正客觀、誠實的國際經濟分析。

四、問題真的是「產能過剩」,還是西方正在失去工業霸權?

我們必須承認,真正的工業產能過剩,確實可能構成經濟問題。

例如,當生產規模超過市場可以長期承受的需求,而政府補貼又鼓勵低效率投資,甚至導致企業長期以低於成本的價格銷售產品時,便有可能造成市場扭曲。

這類問題無論發生在中國、歐洲,還是美國,都應該接受合理而客觀的審視。

但是,這與某個國家因為能夠生產具有國際競爭力的商品,便被指責為「產能過剩」,完全是兩回事。

真正應該討論的,是某些產業有沒有客觀、可以衡量的市場扭曲行為,而不是西方企業因為失去市場佔有率,便要求政府以政治手段打擊競爭對手。

過去相當長的一段時間,西方國家在全球製造業、金融及科技產業中,佔據了最有利、利潤最高的位置。

但是,中國經過數十年的工業發展,已經在愈來愈多產業建立起自己的技術能力、供應鏈及規模優勢。

這種轉變,正在挑戰長期由西方主導的全球經濟秩序。

如今,當中國企業在更多領域取得突破時,部分西方政府似乎愈來愈願意放棄自己過去一直高舉的自由貿易原則。

當西方具有競爭優勢時,他們高喊自由市場;當中國開始取得競爭優勢時,他們卻轉而高喊產能過剩、關稅、制裁及貿易限制。

這不正正值得全世界深思嗎?

五、二百年前的中國,與今天的中國,有着根本性的分別

二百年前,中國缺乏足夠的現代軍事及工業能力,無法有效抵抗西方列強的炮艦外交。

鴉片、軍事威脅及不平等條約,成為外國勢力強迫中國接受其經濟要求的工具。

現在,讓我們作出一個假設。

如果今天的中國,仍然像十九世紀那樣,在軍事、工業及科技方面處於弱勢,西方強國會不會再次試圖透過脅迫手段,強加它們所希望的貿易安排?

它們又會不會再次以「平衡貿易」為藉口,合理化一些對中國經濟及社會造成破壞的行為?

歷史已經給予我們充分理由,去提出這些問題。

但是,1839年的中國與2026年的中國,有一個最根本的分別。

今天的中國,早已不是鴉片戰爭時期那個軍事薄弱、工業落後、科技處於劣勢的中國。

今天的中國擁有龐大的工業生產能力、現代化基礎設施、先進科技、重要的全球經濟影響力,以及保衛國家主權的能力。

中國已經不再是一個可以任由外國列強欺凌、任意施加不平等條件的國家。

那個外國列強可以依靠幾艘軍艦、幾門大炮,便迫使中國屈服的時代,早已一去不復返。

今天的中國,有能力與世界各國平等競爭,也有能力拒絕不合理的外來壓力。

六、我的結論:國際貿易應該公平競爭,而不是實行雙重標準

我並不認為中國應該免於任何有關工業補貼、不公平貿易行為,或者真正產能過剩問題的合理監督。

任何國家都不應該享有這種特權。

但是,國際貿易的評判標準必須一致,歷史背景亦絕對不能被忽略。

西方政府不能一方面慶祝自己在出口市場上的優勢,一方面限制中國購買先進科技產品,然後又僅僅因為中國能夠生產世界各國消費者願意購買的商品,便指責中國「產能過剩」。

國際貿易應該建立在互惠互利、公平競爭及相互尊重的基礎上,而不是選擇性的政治指控,更不是只對某些國家有利的雙重標準。

二百年前,英國利用鴉片及炮艦,強迫打開中國市場。

二百年後,部分西方政府則透過關稅、制裁及「產能過剩」的指控,向中國工業施加壓力。

雖然這些手段在性質、程度及歷史背景上存在重大差異,但其中的歷史對照,仍然值得世人認真思考。

因為世界必須明白一個最基本的事實:

2026年的中國,絕對不是1839年的中國!

中國不再需要依靠任何西方國家的恩賜,才能發展自己的經濟。

中國也不需要得到任何西方強國的批准,才能參與國際市場競爭。

中國有權透過自己的努力、科技進步及產業發展,在全球市場上爭取應得的競爭地位。

二百年前,西方列強可以用鴉片和炮艦,迫使中國接受不平等的貿易安排。

但是今天,他們如果還想重演鴉片戰爭的歷史,恐怕已經沒有那個膽量,也沒有那個能力!

因為,今天的中國,已經不是當年的中國!

The Western accusation that China suffers from so-called “excessive industrial capacity” deserves serious scrutiny. Is this genuinely an economic concern, or is it another convenient narrative designed to contain China’s growing industrial and economic competitiveness?

I have spent more than four decades working in international business, and I find this accusation particularly revealing.

Let me make one thing clear: I am not going to examine every country individually. Virtually every major exporting nation produces more of certain goods than its domestic market can consume. That is precisely why international trade exists.

If producing goods for export automatically constitutes “overcapacity,” then the United States, Germany, Japan, South Korea, Britain, and countless other exporting economies should face the same accusation.

Why, then, is China singled out?

History Has a Remarkable Way of Repeating Itself

Turn back the clock approximately 200 years.

During the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, Britain and other Western trading nations purchased enormous quantities of Chinese tea, silk, and porcelain. China’s products were highly desirable, and Western merchants frequently paid for them with silver.

At that time, nobody was accusing China of possessing “excessive capacity.” China simply produced goods that foreign consumers wanted to buy.

But the resulting trade imbalance created frustration in Britain.

Rather than accepting the imbalance or developing enough competitive products that Chinese consumers wanted, British merchants expanded the highly profitable and destructive opium trade into China. American merchants also participated in that trade.

When Chinese authorities moved decisively against opium imports, including the destruction of confiscated opium at Humen in 1839, Britain responded with military force, launching the First Opium War.

The consequences for China were devastating: military defeat, unequal treaties, territorial concessions, and decades of foreign interference.

The historical lesson is unmistakable: When Western powers could not obtain the trade relationship they wanted through ordinary commerce, Britain resorted to force.

Two Centuries Later, the Trade Imbalance Has Returned

Today, the United States, the European Union, and Britain purchase enormous quantities of Chinese-made consumer and industrial products.

Why?

Because Chinese manufacturers have become extraordinarily competitive in price, production scale, infrastructure, technological capability, and increasingly, product quality.

Western consumers benefit from these products every day, whether they realize it or not.

Yet when China’s manufacturing success contributes to substantial trade surpluses, Western politicians increasingly describe that success as “overcapacity.”

There is an obvious double standard worth questioning.

When Western corporations dominate global markets, their export success is celebrated as competitiveness, innovation, and free enterprise.

When Chinese corporations achieve similar success, their competitiveness is frequently portrayed as a threat.

Why should the same economic principle be praised when it benefits the West but condemned when it benefits China?

You Cannot Restrict What China Buys and Then Complain About What China Sells

There is another major contradiction in Western trade policy.

For years, the United States and some of its allies have imposed restrictions on the sale of advanced semiconductors, semiconductor manufacturing equipment, and other sensitive technologies to China.

These restrictions are often justified on national security grounds, but they also prevent transactions that Chinese companies would otherwise be willing to make.

Consequently, Western governments cannot reasonably discuss trade imbalances without acknowledging the effects of their own export restrictions.

If China is prevented from purchasing certain advanced products, those lost export opportunities necessarily affect the trading relationship.

I am not suggesting that removing every technology restriction would eliminate China’s trade surplus. Trade balances involve many factors, including savings, investment, consumer demand, exchange rates, and industrial policy.

But a country cannot simultaneously restrict access to products that China wants to purchase and then pretend those restrictions have no bearing on bilateral trade.

That is not a complete or intellectually honest discussion of international commerce.

Is This Really About Overcapacity—or About Losing Industrial Dominance?

Excess industrial capacity can be a genuine economic problem when production exceeds sustainable demand, particularly where subsidies encourage inefficient investment or below-cost sales.

Such concerns deserve examination wherever they occur, including in China, Europe, and the United States.

But that is very different from declaring that a country has excessive capacity simply because it can manufacture competitive products for international markets.

The real question should be whether particular industries demonstrate measurable market distortions—not whether Western competitors dislike losing market share.

China’s industrial development has challenged a global economic order in which Western countries traditionally occupied the most profitable positions in manufacturing, finance, and technology.

Now that China has developed capabilities across a growing range of industries, some Western governments appear increasingly willing to abandon the free-trade principles they once championed.

The Difference Between China Then and China Today

Two centuries ago, China lacked the military and industrial capabilities necessary to resist Western gunboat diplomacy.

Opium, military coercion, and unequal treaties became instruments through which foreign powers imposed their economic demands.

Imagine if China were still as vulnerable today as it was during the nineteenth century.

Would powerful Western countries once again attempt to impose their preferred trade arrangements through coercion? Would they justify economically destructive practices in the name of correcting trade imbalances?

History gives us good reason to ask those questions.

But there is one fundamental difference between the China of 1839 and the China of 2026.

Today’s China is no longer the weak and technologically disadvantaged country that Western powers confronted during the Opium Wars.

It possesses enormous industrial capacity, modern infrastructure, advanced technologies, substantial economic influence, and the means to defend its national sovereignty.

The age when foreign powers could force China to accept their terms through gunboat diplomacy is over.

My Conclusion

I do not believe China should be exempt from legitimate scrutiny of industrial subsidies, unfair trade practices, or genuine overcapacity. No country should be.

But the standards must be consistent, and the historical context cannot be ignored.

Western governments cannot celebrate their own export dominance, restrict China’s access to advanced technologies, and then condemn China merely for manufacturing goods that the rest of the world wants to purchase.

International trade should be based on mutual benefit, fair competition, and respect—not selective accusations and political double standards.

Two hundred years ago, Britain used opium and gunboats to force open China’s markets. Today, Western governments use tariffs, sanctions, and accusations of “overcapacity” to pressure China’s industries. These are different instruments in very different circumstances, but the historical comparison deserves attention.

And there is one more difference that the world must recognize:

China in 2026 is not China in 1839.

This time, they would not dare repeat the Opium War.

Why Young People in Hong Kong Are Saying No to Kids — and Yes to Freedom. By Johnson Choi, International Business Consultant since 1985

Why Young People in Hong Kong Are Saying No to Kids — and Yes to Freedom. By Johnson Choi, International Business Consultant since 1985

為什麼香港年輕人對生兒育女說「不」,卻對自由生活說「是」?作者:蔡永強,國際財經顧問(1985年至今)

https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AtcBFuRhSJ
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https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0hBrDJJnWHNKR8NEKiGYQaezTEiSSZhTskoB1AH4FmMh1DxhcwoG7VyLzGb29CZABl&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr

我有一對客戶夫婦,兩人在50歲時便已經從香港退休,開始享受人生。

幾乎每次與他們通電話,他們不是在這個國家旅遊,就是在世界另一個角落享受生活。

終於有一天,我忍不住問他們:「你們到底有甚麼秘訣,可以這麼早退休,而且天天都過得如此自由自在?」

他們的答案既簡單,又令人耳目一新:
「不生孩子、不養寵物,再加上一段幸福美滿的婚姻 – 這就是我們每天都能自由自在、盡情享受人生的秘訣!」

丈夫接着向我解釋:
「我有三個兄弟姊妹,他們當中大部分人至少離過一次婚,有些甚至經歷過多段婚姻,與不同的伴侶育有多名子女。當中有些人早已超過退休年齡,卻仍然需要繼續工作,根本無法真正享受退休生活。」

他的太太隨即補充:
「在香港,真正聰明、有頭腦、受過良好教育的女性,很多根本不想結婚。即使選擇結婚,她們也寧願不生孩子、不養寵物,因為她們希望保留自己的自由,過自己真正想過的生活。」

說到這裡,我似乎開始明白其中的道理。

香港是全球出生率最低的地方之一,同時也是全球人口平均預期壽命最長的地區之一。

這兩種現象同時出現,究竟只是巧合,還是背後存在某些值得我們深思的生活哲學?
也許真的不是純粹巧合!

當然,生兒育女能夠帶來天倫之樂,但同時也意味着長期的經濟負擔、精神壓力,以及無法推卸的家庭責任。

相反,沒有子女的夫婦,往往能夠把更多時間、金錢和精力投放在自己的健康、興趣、旅遊,以及夫妻之間的感情之上。

想到這裡,我開始忍不住半開玩笑地懷疑:
「照這樣看來,生孩子會不會反而是一種危害健康的高風險活動?」

當然,這只是一句玩笑話,但背後確實反映了現代香港年輕一代對婚姻、家庭、自由與人生幸福的不同選擇。
人生最重要的,也許不是我們擁有多少,而是我們能否自由地選擇自己想過的生活。

作者:蔡永強,國際財經顧問(1985年至今)

I have a client couple who both retired from Hong Kong at age 50. Almost every time I speak with them, they’re somewhere else in the world. So I finally asked them: what’s your secret?

Their answer was refreshingly simple:

“No kids, no pets, and a happy marriage — that’s what gives us the freedom to enjoy life every day.”

The husband elaborated: “I have three siblings. Most of them have been divorced at least once, with multiple kids from multiple marriages. Some are well past retirement age and still working.”

His wife added: “Smart, well-educated women in Hong Kong — the ones with brains — don’t want to get married. And if they do marry, they choose no kids and no pets, so they can keep their freedom.”

And there it is: Hong Kong has one of the world’s lowest birth rates — and one of its longest life expectancies. Coincidence? Maybe not.

At this rate, I’m starting to think kids might be hazardous to your health.

So glad China not letting Facebook in China! The Social Reckoning movie is a 2026 American legal and journalistic thriller written and directed by Aaron Sorkin

No glad China not letting Facebook in China! The Social Reckoning movie is a 2026 American legal and journalistic thriller written and directed by Aaron Sorkin. Dramatizes the 2021 Facebook leak and whistleblower disclosures by Frances Haugen. 《社群清算》是一部2026年的美國法律與新聞驚悚片,由艾倫·索金編劇並執導。該片將2021年Facebook洩密事件及法蘭西絲·霍根(Frances Haugen)的吹哨者爆料戲劇化.

https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AxVBiCT05e
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZPLhrrr4D/
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Video with English & Chinese subtitles: Hong Kong’s new Huanggang Port,Citybus launches interchange discount, one flat fare of HK$27.6 from Hong Kong Island to the port

Video with English & Chinese subtitles: Hong Kong’s new Huanggang Port,Citybus launches interchange discount, one flat fare of HK$27.6 from Hong Kong Island to the port 影片有中英文字幕:香港新皇崗口岸,城巴推轉乘優惠,港島到口岸一口價27.6元

https://rumble.com/v7goax6-hong-kongs-new-huanggang-portcitybus-launches-interchange-discount.html
https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AIs2mecbnC
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZPLrw9ptw/
https://www.facebook.com/reel/2624090904716869/?mibextid=wwXIfr

新皇崗口岸將於10月12日(周一)上午6時30分正式開通。城巴今日(9日)宣布,三條全新城巴皇崗專線B13、B14及B15號線已準備就緒,將於10月12日與皇崗口岸同步投入服務。

城巴同時推出轉乘優惠,市民及旅客由港島各區往返皇崗口岸,只需支付「一口價」27.6元車資,此外,城巴皇崗專線亦在大欖隧道巴士轉乘站及新田公共運輸交匯處設巴士站,方便乘客轉乘往返口岸。

B13號線:港島全日直達皇崗 港島出發統一收費

B13號線是港島唯一直達深港陸路口岸的全日專營巴士路線,服務時間為每日早上6時至凌晨12時30分,成人全程車費27.6元。路線由小西灣(藍灣半島)出發,途經柴灣、筲箕灣、太古、北角及中環,取道西區海底隧道及大欖隧道直達皇崗口岸。

作為港島居民過關的全新首選,由中環上車乘坐B13號線,預計只需約一小時即可直達口岸;若在西隧轉乘B13號線,最快45分鐘到達口岸。

城巴亦推出「加碼」轉乘優惠,乘客從港島任何一處出發,均可選搭城巴市區路線接駁B13號線,全程實際總車費低至27.6元,是過關性價比之選。舉例而言,乘客由銅鑼灣、寶馬山或南區出發,選乘現有城巴路線前往北角、中環或西隧轉乘B13號線,兩程車費合共只需27.6元,相等於首程市區路線獲全額免費。

B14號線:九龍市中心直達皇崗

B14號線提供由啟德及宋皇臺站往返皇崗口岸的特快直達服務,巴士站亦鄰近新蒲崗及九龍城住宅區。此路線停站少、車程快,全程取道中九龍繞道、大欖隧道及新田公路等快速公路,由九龍市中心出發最快僅需40分鐘即可直達皇崗口岸。營運初期的服務時間為每日上、下午繁忙時間,分別為上午8時至11時以及下午6時至9時,成人全程車費20.8元。

B15號線:屯門及北部都會區直達皇崗

城巴B15號線。(點新聞記者周禹含攝)
為照顧新界居民的過關需求,B15號線每逢周六、周日及公眾假期提供全日服務,服務時間為上午6時至凌晨12時30分,成人全程車費15.5元。路線覆蓋屯門市中心、安定/友愛、屯門站及洪水橋等地區,一程直達皇崗口岸,為新界及北部都會區居民提供兼具彈性與效率的過境新選項。

城巴營運總監馬詹唯見傳媒時提到,屆時市民、旅客都可搭乘3條皇崗專線並享受優惠,相信這將便利「港人北上」及內地旅客遊港。點新聞記者亦了解到,3條新專線的大部分巴士均設有雙層行李架,方便往返港深的市民及遊客擺放大件行李。

被問及3條新專線的服務有無期限、會否拓展服務範圍,以及是否考慮再開通其他路線提供類似服務,馬詹唯表示目前只有已公布的3條線路計劃,有關線路運行到幾時、會否做調整都要視乎投入服務後的整體情況,城巴屆時會密切關注。