Video: De-dollarization tide: How to time US vs. China bonds as global central banks (including most US allies) pivot?

Video: De-dollarization tide: How to time US vs. China bonds as global central banks (including most US allies) pivot? Short duration or long duration? A practical framework using US Treasuries + A-share bond ETFs. 視頻有中英文字幕: 去美元化浪潮下,包括全球央行(含大部分美盟友)美债与中债如何择时?短久期与长久期怎么选?基于美债+A股债券ETF的实战配置框架.

https://rumble.com/v7fabsc-dedollarization-time-us-vs-china-bonds-as-global-central-banks-including-mo.html
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP83JQ8Fm/
https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AnDpoAmBAr
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0gmNKH2rm4gzjVG1PRhaqdRMvjMRMErcEvjbhMGq8ZMRCMd5TVaRHNQetMECb8D75l&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr

Video with English and Chinese subtitles: Some of US strongest allies – France Empties Gold, Netherlands Moves It Overnight: Is Dollar Trust Collapsing?

Video with English and Chinese subtitles: Some of US strongest allies – France Empties Gold, Netherlands Moves It Overnight: Is Dollar Trust Collapsing? If US$ collapses, they are afraid US will not return the gold to them! 影片附中英字幕:美國最親密的盟友們 – 法國清空黃金,荷蘭連夜轉移,美元信譽正在崩潰嗎?如果美元垮了,他們擔心美國不會把黃金歸還給他們!

法國已將存放在紐約近一個世紀的黃金清空 – 共129公噸,全數換出並運回巴黎。荷蘭則緊急將86公噸黃金從紐約和渥太華轉移至倫敦。這不是巧合 – 而是一個悄然蔓延的「去美元化」信號。

https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AF7655ZGa2
https://rumble.com/v7fa1wy-france-empties-gold-netherlands-moves-it-overnight-from-ny.html
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid02HzFc28vw9SUnTQ8iQjVUHS7sPPM1fBfkSD7mUhWUPu3Q3zjR6wUMHKdtgG7dghtal&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr
俄烏衝突後,美國凍結俄羅斯外匯存底的行為,徹底打破了長期以來人們認為美國金融體系中立且安全的假設。如今,就連華府最親密的盟友,也開始以「危機管理」的心態對待自家黃金儲備-而這背後所傳遞的訊息,遠比表面上看起來更加深遠。

美元真的像表面上那麼強勢嗎?隨著越來越多的國家囤積黃金,甚至啟動貨幣互換協議以繞開美元,這場悄然發生的信心危機,究竟意味著什麼?

在本影片中,我們將深入拆解法國與荷蘭運回黃金背後的深層邏輯,以及這對一般民眾的財富可能帶來什麼影響。

France has emptied nearly a century’s worth of gold from New York — 129 tonnes — swapping it out and shipping it back to Paris. The Netherlands has urgently moved 86 tonnes of gold from New York and Ottawa to London. This isn’t coincidence — it’s a quietly spreading signal of “de-dollarization.”

After the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the U.S. freezing of Russian foreign reserves shattered the long-held assumption that America’s financial system is neutral and safe. Now even Washington’s closest allies are treating their own gold holdings with a “crisis management” mindset — and what that signals runs far deeper than it appears on the surface.

Is the dollar really as strong as it looks? As more and more countries stockpile gold and even launch currency swap agreements to bypass the dollar entirely, what does this quiet crisis of confidence actually mean?

In this video, we break down the deeper logic behind France and the Netherlands’ gold repatriation moves — and what it could mean for ordinary people’s wealth.

China is already ahead US on AI, lying won’t make America great again!

China is already ahead US on AI, lying won’t make America great again! 中國在人工智慧方面已經領先美國,說謊並不會讓美國再次偉大!
https://weixin.qq.com/sph/A4PxUd6pI6
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP83115Td/
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0HJ4gcn62wVbtQKpteWxBwXggW9AGBgThhMBfqwp61ozEAGguhMuNxd8RkRyRtErLl&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr

Video: This is the news I least want to hear, yet I know that one day I must face it. Johnson Choi, MBA. International Business Consultant since 1985

Video: This is the news I least want to hear, yet I know that one day I must face it. Johnson Choi, MBA. International Business Consultant since 1985

視頻: 这是我最不愿听到,却也知道终有一天必须面对的消息. 蔡永強,商科碩士,國際財經顧問(1985年至今)

董建华先生的一生,与香港、国家以及这个时代紧密相连。对我而言,他所留下的不仅是一段值得铭记的历史,更是一种精神、一份胸怀,以及对国家、香港与人民始终不变的责任感。

他的离去令人悲痛,但他所秉持的信念与精神,不会因此而结束。我会继续以自己的方式,将这份精神传承下去。

为祖国与同胞尽一份心力,
为香港的繁荣、稳定与未来尽一份责任,也为增进中美两国人民之间的理解与友谊、推动中美关系改善,继续做我力所能及的事情。

https://rumble.com/v7f9nvc-this-is-the-news-i-least-want-to-hear-yet-i-know-that-one-day-i-must-face-i.html
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8cE7mry/
https://weixin.qq.com/sph/Az0n5PkGci
https://www.facebook.com/reel/2084247692197049/?mibextid=wwXIfr

一个人的生命终有尽时,但真正具有意义的精神与信念,可以由后来者继续承载,也可以在一代又一代人的行动中延续。

对董先生最好的怀念,不仅是追思他的过去,更是继续他所关心和珍视的事业。

这既是我对董建华先生最深切的怀念,也是我愿意继续承担的一份责任与使命。

谨致最深切的哀悼与敬意。

Forever Mr. Tung

Mr. Tung Chee-hwa’s life was closely intertwined with Hong Kong, the nation, and this era. To me, what he leaves behind is not only a history worth remembering, but also a spirit, a breadth of mind, and an unwavering sense of responsibility toward the country, Hong Kong, and its people.

His passing is deeply saddening, but the convictions and spirit he upheld will not end here. I will continue to carry forward this spirit in my own way.

To devote myself to the motherland and my compatriots,
to fulfill my responsibility for Hong Kong’s prosperity, stability, and future,
and to continue doing what I can to enhance mutual understanding and friendship between the Chinese and American people, as well as to promote the improvement of bilateral relations.

A person’s life eventually comes to an end, but a truly meaningful spirit and convictions can be carried on by those who come after, and can live on through the actions of generation after generation.

The best way to remember Mr. Tung is not merely to recall his past, but to continue the endeavors he cared for and cherished.

This is both my deepest remembrance of Mr. Tung Chee-hwa and a responsibility and mission I am willing to continue to undertake.

I offer my deepest condolences and respect.

Forever Mr. Tung.

From San Francisco Chinatown Warnings to Persian Gulf Blunders: A Decade of Strategic Decay

From San Francisco Chinatown Warnings to Persian Gulf Blunders: A Decade of Strategic Decay. By Johnson Choi, MBA. International Business Consultant since 1985

從舊金山華埠警訊到波斯灣失策:戰略衰頹的十年. 作者:蔡永強,商科碩士,1國際財經顧問,(1985至今)

回想當年那些在舊金山華埠舉行的每月聚會,氣氛與其說是政治,不如說是務實的後勤檢討。退役空軍上校羅傑・董(Roger Dong)和其他來賓並不是來編織故事,而是來敲響警鐘。十多年前,他們告訴我們一個被預算攻防噪音所掩蓋的殘酷事實:美國海軍人力不足、過度操勞,艦艇幾乎是靠著意志力與日益縮減的維修經費在硬撐。

https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8cKVn49/

https://weixin.qq.com/sph/A1NEnN8BuJ
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0AcaxzUeZEzan4ZetD7cQErqyPJgreNSZF2GRB9aCqaVUsCMm65q5fUsxp9zkrF1Tl&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr

當時,這種說法聽起來像是軍中內行人的抱怨。但看看今天的成績單。十年前,解放軍海軍還只是一支規模有限的地區性艦隊——老舊的驅逐艦和一艘以訓練為主的航空母艦。如今,北京擁有全球數量最龐大的海軍艦隊,配備現代化神盾級驅逐艦、先進潛艇,以及快速擴張的航艦打擊群。當我們還在爭論預算自動削減時,中國正在大興土木建造乾船塢。

這就帶到中東地區那場顯而易見的戰略失敗——以及為什麼你不需要五星上將,也能明白川普對伊朗的個人戰爭為何會如此難看地崩盤。

兩者之間的關聯很簡單:軍事信譽需要一支你實際上不必動用的後備力量。

當川普發起「極限施壓」行動、暗殺蘇雷曼尼(Qassem Soleimani),並揚言要把伊朗快艇「打離水面」時,他賭的是一場虛張聲勢。但正如董上校等人多年前所預測的,美國海軍在荷莫茲海峽根本不具備支持這類強硬言論的作戰整備度。要實施全面石油封鎖、在波斯灣維持兩個航艦打擊群,並應對伊朗的水雷戰或蜂群快艇攻擊,你需要的是不在乾船塢等待零件的艦艇,以及沒有因十個月部署而陷入創傷後壓力症候群和過勞的官兵。

伊朗識破了這場虛張聲勢。他們擊落一架全球鷹無人機、攻擊沙烏地阿美石油公司,並向美軍駐伊拉克基地發射彈道飛彈——造成美軍官兵真正的創傷性腦損傷。而美國的軍事回應是什麼?大多是沉默和克制。為什麼?因為五角大廈的後勤主管們深知董上校十年前就已明白的事實:我們沒有多餘的海軍資產可以升級衝突,除非從太平洋抽調兵力——而那裡,真正的生存威脅(中國)早已加速超越我們。

川普的伊朗政策失敗,不是因為外交——根本沒有外交——而是因為它是一場披著戰略外衣的個人復仇。它耗盡了情報資源,疏遠了原本可以協助海上巡邏的歐洲盟友,並浪費數十億美元的攔截飛彈去打伊朗代理人,而與此同時,中國海軍卻以嶄新的艦體悄悄駛入南海。

你不需要軍事專家也能看見這悲劇性的諷刺:華埠會議室裡的那些人,包括董上校,早就警告我們正在喪失海軍優勢。但我們沒有修理艦隊,反而把剩餘的可信度浪費在與伊朗的一場表演式對峙上——這個國家我們既打不贏,也沒打算佔領,最後反而讓它把鈾濃縮到比以往更接近武器級的程度。

伊朗的失敗不僅僅是川普的失敗;它是十年戰略疏忽的必然結果。當你的海軍只是一隻紙老虎,每一場「個人戰爭」都註定會輸。華埠的上校們早就預見了這一切,只是我們拒絕傾聽。

Back in those monthly meetings in San Francisco’s Chinatown, the atmosphere was less about politics and more about hard-nosed logistics. Retired USAF Colonel Roger Dong and other guests weren’t there to spin narratives; they were there to sound the alarm. Over a decade ago, they told us a stark truth that got buried under the noise of budget battles: the U.S. Navy was understaffed, overworked, and its ships were held together by sheer willpower and shrinking maintenance budgets.

At the time, this felt like an inside-baseball complaint. But look at the scoreboard today. Ten years ago, the People’s Liberation Army Navy was a modest regional fleet—outdated destroyers and a single, training-focused carrier. Today, Beijing boasts the world’s largest navy by hull count, packed with modern Aegis-equivalent destroyers, advanced submarines, and a rapidly expanding carrier strike group. While we were debating sequestration, China was building dry docks.

This brings us to the glaring strategic failure in the Middle East—and why you don’t need a five-star general to understand why Trump’s personal war on Iran collapsed so spectacularly.

The connection is simple: military credibility requires a reserve of force that you don’t actually have to use.

When Trump initiated the “maximum pressure” campaign, assassinated Qassem Soleimani, and threatened to blow Iranian gunboats out of the water, he was betting on a bluff. But as Dong and others predicted years prior, the U.S. Navy lacked the operational readiness to back that rhetoric up in the Strait of Hormuz. Enforcing a total oil blockade, sustaining two carrier strike groups in the Gulf, and responding to Iranian mine warfare or swarming speedboats requires ships that aren’t in dry dock awaiting parts and crews that aren’t suffering from PTSD and burnout from 10-month deployments.

Iran called the bluff. They shot down a Global Hawk, struck Saudi Aramco, and launched ballistic missiles at U.S. bases in Iraq—inflicting real traumatic brain injuries on American troops. And what was the U.S. military response? Mostly silence and restraint. Why? Because the Pentagon’s logistics chiefs knew the truth that Colonel Dong knew a decade ago: we didn’t have the spare naval assets to escalate without pulling forces from the Pacific, where the real existential threat (China) was already sprinting past us.

Trump’s Iran policy failed miserably not because of diplomacy—there was none—but because it was a personal vendetta masquerading as strategy. It drained intelligence resources, alienated European allies who could have aided maritime patrols, and wasted billions in missile interceptors against Iranian proxies, all while the Chinese Navy quietly sailed into the South China Sea with brand-new hulls.

You don’t need a military expert to see the tragic irony: the men in that Chinatown meeting room, including Colonel Dong, were warning us that we were losing our naval edge. Instead of fixing the fleet, we wasted its dwindling credibility on a theatrical showdown with Iran—a country we couldn’t defeat, didn’t plan to occupy, and ultimately allowed to enrich uranium closer to weapons-grade than ever before.

The failure in Iran wasn’t just Trump’s; it was the inevitable outcome of a decade of strategic negligence. When your navy is a paper tiger, every “personal war” becomes a guaranteed loss. The colonels in Chinatown saw it coming. We just refused to listen.

Video: A 90-year-old patriotic overseas Chinese shares his experiences of being discriminated against in the US

Video: A 90-year-old patriotic overseas Chinese shares his experiences of being discriminated against in the US, while enjoying the progress, freedom, and openness of China only available to the top 10% wealthiest Americans 90歳愛國華僑分享美國受歧視經歷享受中國進步自由開放, 在美國祗有最富有的10%可以享受!
https://rumble.com/v7f8ums-a-90-year-old-patriotic-overseas-chinese-shares-his-experiences-of-being-di.html
https://weixin.qq.com/sph/A5Zq4FLpyO
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8cw8G7H/
Full video 👉 https://youtu.be/C3gwJC_es7M?is=DE-MTxYcRgqpugNn

Video: Alex Yeung spent HK$1 million to take 20 staffs traveled by business class via Air France to France for 10 days to support Zhang Xue Motorcycle. The Air France flight attendants were rude, service bad, food bad

Video: Alex Yeung spent HK$1 million to take 20 staffs traveled by business class via Air France to France for 10 days to support Zhang Xue Motorcycle. The Air France flight attendants were rude, service bad, food bad. Alex Yeung had travel via Air Canada before equally bad. Cathay Pacific Airlines has one of the best services. 5 stars hotels in France bad, 3 stars hotels in China much better, overpriced and bad service! No nightlife, dangerous to go out at night! 視頻有中英文字幕: Alex Yeung 花費港幣一百萬元,帶領20名員工搭乘法國航空商務艙前往法國,進行為期10天的旅程,以支持張雪機車。法國航空的空服人員態度無禮,服務差勁,食物也不佳。華記先前搭乘加拿大航空時,體驗同樣糟糕。國泰航空的服務則屬頂尖水準。法國的五星級飯店品質欠佳,中國的三星級飯店反而好得多,當地不僅價格過高,服務也很差勁! 法國沒有夜生活,晚上外出危險!
https://rumble.com/v7f8qwg-the-air-france-flight-attendants-were-rude-service-bad-food-bad.html
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8cwJcv6/
https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AmXz0DGHei
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0vVHqiqj9Bao9CQoERr2uxKqtjo8uigvCHvheG9tMkBAxfS1k3kMJMiATj146Xc53l&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr

Video: A 90-year-old patriotic overseas Chinese shares his experiences of being discriminated against in the US

Video: A 90-year-old patriotic overseas Chinese shares his experiences of being discriminated against in the US, while enjoying the progress, freedom, and openness of China only available to the top 10% wealthiest Americans 90歳愛國華僑分享美國受歧視經歷享受中國進步自由開放, 在美國祗有最富有的10%可以享受!
https://weixin.qq.com/sph/ARwYsCPKRr
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8cTode7/
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid06NY3XsEKdQzH7CbTwYaRNAd669H61qMXELoQiuXiwmWD8KzaQREKrQGv65ZhoX3Cl&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr
👉 https://youtu.be/C3gwJC_es7M?is=DE-MTxYcRgqpugNn

The Chinese government restricts senior technical personnel from going abroad—not because of what China-haters claim, but because there is a real risk of them being “suicided” overseas. Yet another case of an unclear death in a foreign land…

The Chinese government restricts senior technical personnel from going abroad—not because of what China-haters claim, but because there is a real risk of them being “suicided” overseas. Yet another case of an unclear death in a foreign land…

中國政府限制高級技術人員出國非恨國黨所言,因在國外有被自殺的可能! 又是一個不明不白,客死異鄉的故事……

42歲阿里巴巴前高管陳理失蹤半個月後,被發現死在加州路邊,年薪百萬最後也買不到一張回程機票。

這件事有點蹊蹺,網傳最先發現他失聯的是兩個跟他打了大半年遊戲,未謀面的網友。因多次發微信未獲回復察覺異常聯繫媒體協助尋人。

https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8c3pdPt/
https://weixin.qq.com/sph/A2yZOVgoo2
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid02z84m4mU1WDVbzAvC2B7up1pWpTW3sEoCTG5xmkturWjiZk2FU74CZySLCztBcmDcl&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr

8月21日失聯,9月4日被發現死在美國住宅附近一輛小轎車上。

一家四口移居美國大概兩三年,在當地是租房居住,近期剛搬家。

失蹤多天?他家妻子難道沒有發現丈夫失蹤?
他是做業務的,這種級別的出差是家常便飯,可能家人也忽略了。

不過從側面講,失蹤半個月家人不是第一時間知道,這事是不合理的。

案件細節和死因都還在調查中,別落井下石,咱還是理性看待。

我們應該尊重每個人,根據他的個人性格,選擇他自己走的路和生活方式。用自己的思想和生活方式去褒貶別人是有些齷齪的。

人不要太窮,也不要太富,太富有壞人惦記,人不要太閑,太閑生病,也不要太忙!

為什麼有了一點錢就想去外國,真不知道是去享受還是去遭罪?

好多富豪都想往外國溜?有那麼好的經濟實力,難道在祖國會不幸福!

Chen Li, a 42‑year‑old former Alibaba executive, was found dead by the roadside in California after being missing for half a month. A yearly salary of a million yuan couldn’t even buy him a return ticket.

This case is somewhat suspicious. According to online sources, the first to notice his disappearance were two online gaming friends who had played with him for over half a year but had never met in person. After sending multiple WeChat messages without reply, they sensed something wrong and contacted the media to help locate him.

He went missing on August 21 and was found dead on September 4 in a small car near his residence in the United States.

The family of four had moved to the US about two or three years ago, rented a house locally, and had recently moved.

Missing for days? Didn’t his wife at home notice his absence?
He worked in business development, and trips of this level were routine—perhaps the family simply overlooked it.

However, from another perspective, it is unreasonable that his family was not the first to know about his disappearance half a month later.

The details of the case and the cause of death are still under investigation. Let’s not kick someone when they’re down; we should stay rational.

We should respect everyone’s choices of path and lifestyle based on their personal character. Using our own thinking and way of life to judge others is somewhat contemptible.

One should not be too poor, nor too rich—too rich makes you a target for bad people. One should not be too idle—too idle invites illness—nor too busy.

Why do some people, once they have a bit of money, want to go abroad? I really wonder—are they going for enjoyment or for suffering?

So many wealthy people want to slip out to foreign countries? With such financial strength, wouldn’t they be happy right here in their homeland?

EDA software export controls (US “wall-building”) outline the starkly different approaches of China and the US in the fields of EDA and nuclear fusion, and the core facts stand up to scrutiny. Western hegemony is on the decline

EDA software export controls (US “wall-building”) outline the starkly different approaches of China and the US in the fields of EDA and nuclear fusion, and the core facts stand up to scrutiny. Western hegemony is on the decline!

EDA软件出口管制(美国“砌墙”)勾勒出了中美在EDA和核聚变两个领域截然不同的做法,核心事实经得起推敲. 西方霸權日落西山!

· 暂停供应:2025年5月23日,美国商务部向新思科技(Synopsys)、楷登(Cadence)、西门子EDA(Siemens EDA) 发出通知,要求对华出口特定软件须获许可证。
· 恢复供应:2025年7月2-3日,美国政府撤销限制,三大厂商恢复对中国客户的支持与服务。
· 市场份额:摩根士丹利报告显示,这三家公司曾占据中国EDA市场约82% 的份额。

https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AIZ9MQihHv
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8c3W1d2/

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核聚变领域(美国“焦虑”)

· CFS首席执行官专访:2025年12月30日,CFS的CEO鲍勃·马姆加德在福克斯商业频道警告,美国聚变战略“停留在过去”,而中国正大力投资。
· 国会作证:2025年9月18日,他在众议院听证会上呼吁美国加速行动,以应对中国在聚变领域的竞争。

中国核聚变进展(“跑在前面”)

· EAST世界纪录:2025年1月20日,中国“人造太阳”EAST实现1亿摄氏度、1066秒的高约束模运行,打破世界纪录。
· 中国环流三号:2025年3月28日,实现原子核温度1.17亿度、电子温度1.6亿度的“双亿度”运行。
· 中国聚变能源有限公司:2025年7月22日在上海挂牌成立,注册资本达150亿元人民币。
· 投资规模:CFS的CEO称中国近年投入约60亿至120亿美元;另一分析称自2023年以来投入约65亿美元,是美国联邦投入的三倍。
· ITER线圈交付:2025年12月28日,中国承担的ITER校正场线圈全部竣工交付,项目历时15年,实现100%国产化。

美国自身困境

· 资金差距:2026财年,美能源部聚变能源科学项目预算仅7.45亿美元,而行业呼吁的年度投资高达100亿美元。
· 设施老旧:行业人士承认,美国部分聚变装置已运行三十年,参数落后。

EDA Export Controls (US “Wall-Building”)

· Suspension of supply: On May 23, 2025, the US Department of Commerce notified Synopsys, Cadence, and Siemens EDA that licenses would be required for exporting specific software to China.
· Resumption of supply: On July 2–3, 2025, the US government lifted the restrictions, and the three major vendors resumed support and services for Chinese customers.
· Market share: A Morgan Stanley report showed that these three companies once held approximately 82% of China’s EDA market.

Nuclear Fusion (US “Anxiety”)

· CFS CEO interview: On December 30, 2025, Bob Mumgaard, CEO of CFS, warned on Fox Business that the US fusion strategy is “stuck in the past” while China is making major investments.
· Congressional testimony: On September 18, 2025, he called for accelerated action in a House hearing to counter China’s competition in fusion.

China’s Fusion Progress (“Running Ahead”)

· EAST world record: On January 20, 2025, China’s “artificial sun” EAST achieved a high‑confinement mode operation of 1066 seconds at 100 million degrees Celsius, breaking the world record.
· China Huanliu‑3: On March 28, 2025, it achieved “double 100 million degrees” operation with an ion temperature of 117 million degrees and an electron temperature of 160 million degrees.
· China Fusion Energy Company: Incorporated in Shanghai on July 22, 2025, with registered capital of RMB 15 billion.
· Investment scale: CFS’s CEO said China has invested about $6–12 billion in recent years; another analysis puts the figure at about $6.5 billion since 2023, three times the US federal investment.
· ITER coil delivery: On December 28, 2025, China completed and delivered all ITER correction coils – a project spanning 15 years – achieving 100% domestic production.

US Own Difficulties

· Funding gap: In fiscal year 2026, the US Department of Energy’s fusion energy science program budget is only $745 million, while the industry calls for an annual investment of up to $10 billion.
· Aging facilities: Industry insiders admit that some US fusion devices have been operating for thirty years and lag behind in parameters.