I told people to cash out months ago! No one listen! BREAKING NEWS: The New York Times. What a beautiful sight! Stocks Slide to 5th Weekly Loss as Investors Lose Patience With Trump’s personal war on Iran. The S&P 500 is down nearly 9 percent from a January high. The weekly losing streak is its worst in roughly four years. It is only the beginning! 多個月前我(蔡永強)就叫大家出清美國股票, 無人聽! 《紐約時報》突發新聞：這是多麼美麗的風景線! 投資人對川普的伊朗戰爭失去耐心，股市連續第五週下跌。標準普爾500指數自1月高點以來已下跌近9%。這波連續下跌週數是近四年來最長的一次。這還只是個開始!
Video with English & Chinese subtitles: Why the U.S. Hasn’t Collapsed Yet? US, the House of Cards hanging in there by 3 threads! 影片有中英文字幕: 為什麼美國還沒崩潰？美國這個紙牌屋靠著三根細線吊著來吊命! 真正危險的地方，其實已經裂開了!
https://rumble.com/v77pco2-why-the-u.s.-hasnt-collapsed-yet.html
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8bgSR4F/
美國經濟為什麼還沒塌？
很多人最近都在問這個問題。一邊是美國債務越來越高，赤字越來越大，油價在波動，AI也開始衝擊白領崗位；另一邊，美國經濟表面上卻沒有真正垮掉，美股沒有徹底崩掉，美元體系也還在運轉。
這期內容主要講四個層面：
1、美國為什麼還沒塌
2、美國表面穩定背後的三層支撐
3、哪些裂縫已經開始出現
4、普通人現在最應該盯住哪些風險變量
我更關心的，從來不是情緒化的結論，而是風險如何傳導、系統如何變脆，以及這些變化最後會怎樣影響普通人的資產配置
Why hasn’t the U.S. economy collapsed yet?
That’s the question many people are asking right now. On one side, America is dealing with rising debt, persistent deficits, oil volatility, and growing AI pressure on white-collar jobs. On the other side, the U.S. economy still looks surprisingly resilient on the surface: stocks haven’t fully broken down, the dollar system is still functioning, and markets still seem to believe the system can keep going.
In this video, we break down:
1、Why the U.S. hasn’t collapsed yet
2、The three major pillars still supporting the system
3、Where the real cracks are beginning to show
4、What ordinary investors should actually watch next
This is not about fear-driven headlines. It’s about understanding how risks are transmitted through a highly leveraged system — and what that could mean for assets, markets, and the global economy.
If you care about:the U.S. economythe dollar systemoil and inflation private credit AI pressure on white-collar jobsand how all of this may affect global markets and asset allocation
Video with English subtitles: 🇨🇳 China’s robotic wolf urban combat footage revealed for the first time! 影片有英文字幕: 🇨🇳 中國機器狼城市作戰影像首次曝光!
https://rumble.com/v77p8c6-chinas-robotic-wolf-urban-combat-footage-revealed-for-the-first-time.html
Back then, the U.S. military tried to find the mole but failed, only then did they realize the true capability of Chinese female military expert Li Li… 當年美軍查內鬼沒找到，才發現中國女軍事專家李莉的真本事…
1969年10月，中國女軍事專家李莉出生在一個軍人家庭。從小跟着部隊調動，耳濡目染軍營生活。1986年，她考入第二炮兵工程學院，讀計算機專業。畢業後主動選擇基層，到第二炮兵通信總站工作，一干就是五年，先後擔任長途台台長、副指導員、指導員、組織幹事等職務，把連隊里的活兒都幹了個遍。
1995年，她考入國防大學研究生院，攻讀作戰模擬專業，1998年拿到軍事學碩士學位，留校任教，在軍事科技教研室工作。2002年，她繼續深造，讀戰略後勤組織指揮專業博士，2005年7月獲得軍事學博士學位，成為部隊里首位軍事學女博士。
李莉的職業生涯一直跟軍事分析和教學緊密相連。她從講台起步，後來成為央視等媒體的特約軍事評論員，多次參與節目，講解國防知識和國際形勢。
2003年伊拉克戰爭期間，她根據公開數據分析美軍預算和裝備投入情況，判斷美軍不會打地面戰，而是側重信息戰和精確打擊。後來戰事發展跟她的預判基本一致，這讓她在軍事圈裡聲名漸起。2018年，她從現役退出，但沒有真正離開國防事業，繼續通過各種方式傳播國防知識，關注國家安全建設。
真正讓李莉廣受關注的那件事，發生在南海地區。當時美國派出F-35隱形戰鬥機進入南海活動。李莉依靠長期積累的美軍數據和對對方作戰模式的深入研究，推算出戰機的飛行路線、盤旋位置以及後續部署意圖。
相關信息上報后，我方迅速組織力量應對，美軍戰機很快撤離。消息傳到美國五角大樓，對方高層感到震驚，他們的第一反應就是內部出了問題。
有人直接說出，“一定是有叛徒在我們中間，不然僅僅以中國女人頭腦，怎可能算出我們的飛行路線？”於是，美軍啟動內部徹查，調閱大量記錄，排查參與人員和信息渠道，忙活了好一陣子。
可查來查去，什麼泄密證據都沒找到，只得接受現實，把李莉列入威脅美國安全人員名單，禁止她入境。這件事傳開后，讓很多人看到，中國軍事專家靠紮實積累和專業能力，就能有效維護國家利益。
BREAKING NEWS: EUROPEANS ARE IN SHOCK today after learning that a cash-for-weapons fund they set up as “priority” for Ukraine is to be diverted to the United States’ for its own use.
CLUTCHING THEIR PURLS
Army bosses notified US Congress on Monday that it planned to divert US$750 million raised from NATO countries for PURL, the paper said.
PURL, which stands for the Prioritised Ukraine Requirements List, is a US-organized scheme that collected cash from other NATO members to make Ukraine the priority recipient of weapons.
Paperwork for the dramatic change of plan specifies certain weapons, such as air defence interceptor missiles ordered through the PURL program, to be instead diverted for US use.
This lends weight to multiple reports that the Iranians have destroyed a significant of the US’s ability to intercept Iranian missiles.
Israel’s “Iron Dome” is also faltering, with significant damage in Tel Aviv and other places.
NO CRITICISM ALLOWED
In Dubai and other parts of the Gulf, it appears that occasions when defence forces fail to intercept a missile, are spun as “successful interceptions with minor damage caused by shrapnel”. In Dubai and Qatar, more than 20 people have been arrested for departing from the official versions of events.
The use of European cash intended for Ukraine use to replenish the US’s own stock has come as a surprise. However, the leaders of NATO, the EU and the UK are not allowed to criticize the United States under some bizarre, unwritten convention.
The result was the strange antics we saw at a press conference yesterday. Reporters raised the issue several times.
But NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte declined to discuss the matter at all. (Have the west and China swapped places?)
WAR ON CHINA TO BE POSTPONED
The Iranians are defending themselves from the illegal US-Israel assault by damaging Gulf launchpads used by the attackers.
All 13 of the US military bases in the Gulf damaged, the New York Times reported yesterday, with Kuwait most badly hit.
Trump’s attack on Iran was intended as a quick operation to kill the country’s government leaders and destroy its military. But it has instead continued for four weeks, with multiple unintended consequences, including a global crisis over fuel stocks.
If it continues, the US’s long-planned war on China will have to be postponed, despite years of preparations and training, analysts say.
NYT BREAKING NEWS: Trump short the market and make billions again! U.S. Stocks Have Their Biggest Drop Since Start of Iran War. The S&P 500 tumbled 1.7%, falling as oil prices rose sharply after President Trump raised the pressure on Iran to accept terms to end the war. 紐約時報突發新聞：特朗普做空市場，再次賺進數十億！美國股市迎來自伊朗戰爭爆發以來最大跌幅. 標準普爾500指數下跌1.7%，由於總統特朗普加大對伊朗的施壓，要求其接受結束戰爭的條件，油價隨之大幅上漲。
American logistic expert reports from China video: More Iran War fallout: Maritime insurance industry shifts from London to HK, China. 更多伊朗戰爭的後續影響：海上保險業從倫敦轉移到香港及中國.
👉 https://youtu.be/McDFdSL4aq0?si=2V30hMW14n1-Moyx 🇭🇰🇨🇳
China and Hong Kong comprise the most valuable fleets of commercial ships in the world, and the largest numbers of bulk carriers, container ships, and tankers.
Japan, Korea, and Singapore also have huge investments in global shipping.
But European and American insurance brokers underwrite 90% of maritime insurance in the world, and on the first day of the war against Iran canceled insurance coverage on vessels already in contested waters.
Hong Kong now writes insurance coverage for ships from Mainland China and Hong Kong, even those transiting the Persian Gulf. What’s more, Iranian authorities are clearing China-flagged vessels to pass safely.
中國與香港擁有全球最具價值的商船船隊，也是散貨船、貨櫃船及油輪數量最多的地區。
日本、韓國及新加坡在全球航運業也有龐大投資。
然而，歐美的保險經紀公司承保了全球90%的海上保險。在對伊朗開戰的第一天，這些公司便取消了對已處於爭議水域船隻的保險。
香港現已為來自中國內地及香港的船隻提供保險，即使是那些經過波斯灣的船隻也不例外。此外，伊朗當局也批准懸掛中國國旗的船隻安全通行。
I have been saying, and actually since my grandfather time back in the late 1800 that HK is blessed land (福地）, take advantage of HK, you win! Bet against HK, you lose! HK will soon replace London or Lloyd of London on maritime insurance too! 危機，危=機 is so true for HK! Hope our next generation will be smart enough to harvest the hanging fruits and not walk away from it. Some of our children, including mines lack the foresight, lacking both EQ & IQ to sees it are the ultimate losers! They only have themselves to blame to staying in the Western nations like US & Canada, both are crashing fast rapidly. The rising of the East and the sinking of the West is irreversible
我一直在說，實際上從我祖父那個時代 – 十九世紀末 – 就開始說了：香港是福地。把握香港的機會，你就贏定了！跟香港對賭，你一定輸！香港很快就會在海上保險方面取代倫敦或勞合社！「危機，危=機」這句話對香港來說再真實不過了！希望我們的下一代有足夠的智慧去收穫那些唾手可得的果實，而不是轉身離開。我們有些孩子，包括我自己的，缺乏遠見，情商和智商都不夠，看不到這一點，最終只會是輸家！他們留在美國、加拿大這些西方國家，只能怪自己，這些國家都在迅速崩潰。東升西降，是不可逆轉的。東升西降已經成為定局，把上帝搬出來也救不了這些假民主國! 如果拜神有用就不會有戰爭了!
Video with Chinese subtitles: The insanity of Trump, the US terrorists State and the zionist Israel crimes against humanity are the pain of the world 影片有中文字幕: 特朗普的瘋狂、美國恐怖主義國家以及猶太復國主義者以色列的反人類罪行，是全世界的痛苦.
https://rumble.com/v77nuai-the-insanity-of-trump-the-us-terrorists-state-and-the-zionist-israel-crimes.html
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8bqHH9m/
United States war with Iran, there will likely be four outcomes (Regardless of who appears to win or lose in the end, US has actually already lost. This defeat marks the beginning of America’s decline): 美國這一仗和伊朗打下來，大概率會出現四個結果 (不管最後表面誰贏誰輸，美國實際上已經輸了。這一敗，就是美國走向衰落的開始):
（一）以後那些軍事實力比伊朗強，或者跟伊朗差不多的國家，都敢跟美國硬氣說話了。
（二）以前花大價錢買美國武器、指望靠美國保護的國家，都會開始重新考慮，不想再依賴美國裝備了。
伊朗現在拿出來的這些導彈，其實在國際上也就中等水平，連頂尖都算不上。你想想，如果換成別別的國家，用上高超音速導彈、變軌滑翔彈、各種蜂群飽和攻擊，美國根本扛不住。
（三）為了應付中東這場仗，美國已經開始從亞太等其他戰略方向，把反導系統等關鍵裝備調到中中東。這種拆東牆補西牆的做法，只會削弱美國在其他地區的軍力和威懾力，暴露它全球兵力根本不夠用。
更關鍵的是，美國在海外的那些軍事基地，現在反而成了戰略包袱。在高超音速導彈和飽和打擊面前，這些基地就是活靶子，一點用都沒有。
（四）美國現在到處調武器、讓國內軍工廠加緊生產，說明它的導彈庫存已經消耗得很嚴重。這麼一來，俄羅斯很可能會加大對烏克蘭的打擊力度。美國自己彈藥都快不夠用了，還怎麼支援烏克蘭？
中國有句老話：頻繁打仗，百姓就會疲憊；總打勝仗，君主就會驕傲。用驕傲的君主統治疲憊的百姓，國家就會走向衰敗。
今天的美國就是這樣：剛搞定馬杜羅就覺得自己贏了全世界，以為“天下無敵”，然後肆無忌憚去針對別國領導人，結果遭到了強硬反擊。
再看美國經濟：不說戰爭花了多少錢、重建基地要多少錢、以色列重建還要美國掏錢，光是油價上漲這一項，就夠美國老百姓難受的了。
而且美國人和我們不一樣。就像馬雲說的，美國人習慣花明天的錢、透支消費，而中國人習慣存錢。真遇到危機、日子不好過的時候，我們手裡還有錢，美國人就扛不住了。
所以這一仗，不管最後表面誰贏誰輸，美國實際上已經輸了。這一敗，就是美國走向衰落的開始。
Video: North Korea Drops a “Political Nuclear Bomb”! Kim Jong Un Officially Designates the US as a Terrorist State, Delivers Three Ruthless Blows — This Ultimate Counterattack Is Absolutely Savage! 朝鮮扔出「政治核彈」！金正恩正式定性美國為恐怖國家，連甩三大耳光，這波極限反殺太絕了!
👉 https://youtu.be/9KGSZEh3H00?si=ZSStNsmh-Int8RLB 🇺🇸👎🏿
在這個大國博弈刺刀見紅的要命關頭，朝鮮竟然扔出了一顆震驚全球的「政治核彈」！
破天荒第一次，朝鮮官方正式將美國定性為「實施國家恐怖主義」的國家，把華盛顿貼了別人一輩子的黑標籤，狠狠砸回了美國人自己的腦門上！
本期視頻，麥子帶你硬核拆解朝鮮這場「絕地反擊」背後的深層戰略算計：
連甩三大耳光： 國防預算狂飆至15.8%！斷然拒絕「棄核換援助」！定性韓國為最敵對國家！看懂平壤這波不留退路的戰略大洗牌！
血淚教訓： 為什麼說伊朗的慘狀成了朝鮮的活教材？揭秘金正恩如何看透霸權本質，得出「唯有核武才能免於被屠殺」的冰冷結論！
戰略陽謀： 為什麼偏偏選在此刻掀桌子？扒開美國深陷中東絞肉機的虛弱底褲，看懂朝鮮如何在俄羅斯撐腰下，精準踩中美國的兩線作戰死穴！
看懂了這場教科書級別的地緣政治微操，你就明白：在這個流氓橫行的叢林世界裡，拋棄一切虛偽幻想，把槍管子擦得雪亮，才是弱小國家捍衛尊嚴與生存的唯一法則！
Johnson Choi Biz