I would like share with you two articles by Hong Kong Economic Journal dated Sept 3 2026. Many of my University of Hawaii alumni are involved.

I would like share with you two articles by Hong Kong Economic Journal dated Sept 3 2026. Many of my University of Hawaii alumni are involved. 我想與你分享兩篇來自《信報》2026年9月3日的文章。我許多夏威夷大學的校友都有參與其中.

Commercial Aviation Takes Off in Hong Kong to Accelerate Development
Promoting R&D Data Applications and Providing Financial and Legal Services. 商業航天加快落地 港聚焦服務應用, 加強科研轉化數據應用 金融法律服務.

Commercial Space Association Says Industry Is Taking Root, Calls for Ten Policies. Richard Leung: Hong Kong Has Unique Advantages in Building a Commercial 商業航夭協會稱產業貼地倡十政策. 梁甜昭:港拓航夭樞紐擁優勢.

https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AdywUHLlJp
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8cUPkKW/
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid02YuXAVzaVuLADeFREGANbjM5wgFbR1E1KrYJqHGqa1DgPtFTyHMgMkc167kXgtJ7ml&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr

The Critical Imperative of the “Emergency Exit” – Your Definitive Plan B! Do you have one now? Why not? By Johnson Choi, MBA. International Business Consultant since 1985

The Critical Imperative of the “Emergency Exit” – Your Definitive Plan B! Do you have one now? Why not? By Johnson Choi, MBA. International Business Consultant since 1985

「緊急出口」的關鍵必要性 – 你的終極B計畫!你現在有了嗎?如果還沒有,為什麼? 作者: 蔡永強,國際財經顧問(1985年至今)

歷經四十年在國內及國際市場的征戰,我親眼見證了災難性失敗與韌性成功之間,恰好只有一個共通點:有無預先定義好的緊急出口。

「你的緊急出口在哪裡?」這個問題不是悲觀主義,而是對你個人生命與企業王國最終極的受託責任壓力測試。你不會蓋一棟沒有逃生梯的大樓,然而大多數人卻在打造帝國時,連個降落傘都沒有。

美國聯邦航空總署(FAA) 與各地消防法規之所以強制要求緊急指示,是因為恐慌會癱瘓邏輯。在商場上,「緊急簡報」就是你的危機溝通協議。

請每季進行「紅旗」演練。如果你的供應鏈斷裂、財務長(CFO)辭職,或是公關災難降臨,你的核心團隊是否能在不須請示你的情況下,就清楚知道資料、資金及客戶關係的「撤離路線」?如果不行,你的營運就是一處火災隱患。

地緣政治「敵對環境」策略

如果你所在的國家(例如美國)在結構上對你或你的資產變得充滿敵意,該怎麼辦?

我建議所有有國際曝險的客戶,必須維持一套「逃難包」式的資產組合:
(1) 第二居留權或黃金簽證(例如巴拿馬、葡萄牙、香港、新加坡);
(2) 地理上分散配置的流動性資產(境外現金等價物);
(3) 以雲端為基礎的企業紀錄數位分身,可在全球任何地方存取。

這不是偏執,而是主權風險緩解。你的緊急計畫必須能夠獨立於當地銀行凍結或旅遊禁令之外運作。

「敵意配偶」股權買賣協議

關於合夥人的配偶:美國各州的夫妻財產制(共同財產)會在合夥人過世或離婚時,賦予該配偶一定的股權權益,這等於讓一個敵意行為者直接進入你的董事會。

我的鐵律建議:立即執行一份以人壽保險或失能險為資金來源的交叉購買買賣協議。條款觸發條件必須明確載明包含「離婚時轉移」或「非自願性轉移」。這將強制公司以預先議定的公平市場價值贖回股份,從財務與法律上徹底切斷該配偶的影響力。請勿拖延。我親眼看過三十年的合夥關係,因為缺少這份文件而在三十天內化為烏有。

家族繼承防火牆

如果你的孩子不是「經營企業的料」,把鑰匙交給他們不是傳承,而是縱火。

我的建議:採用員工持股計畫(ESOP) 或對外出售。

ESOP 讓你能以完整的公平市場價值變現,為賣方提供巨幅稅務遞延優惠,同時保障員工的生計——而你的孩子則獲得流動性資產(現金或信託基金),而非營運上的燙手山芋。你的緊急計畫應當規定:企業存續優先於血脈管理。趁你身體健康、狀況良好時,現在就賣給策略性買家或私募股權集團,而不是日後被迫賤賣。

立即行動計畫

在九十天內,請你的公司法律顧問徹底審查你的營運協議(Operating Agreement),確認是否包含具體的「敵意配偶」及「失能」條款。如果沒有,立即修訂。

  1. 黑天鵝流動性測試
    確保你在當前居住國以外的司法管轄區,持有至少足以支付十二個月個人營運開銷的資金。
  2. 繼承決策會議
    在三十天內與你的繼承人安排一次閉門會議。以書面形式清楚溝通:繼承權是掙來的,不是繼承來的。如果他們未能通過能力測試,即刻啟動 ESOP 觸發機制。

你現在有緊急計畫了嗎?

我四十年累積的數據告訴我,百分之八十的人至今仍沒有任何可運作的 B 計畫。緊急出口不是白旗,而是戰略性重新定位的工具。它賦予你談判籌碼。當火災來臨時——而且它一定會來——那個清楚知道門在哪裡的人,能夠從容走出,而其他所有人則只能在一旁燃燒殆盡。

我最後的顧問建議:放下這份備忘錄,拿起一支筆,現在就親手在餐巾紙上畫出你的逃生流程圖。如果你無法在五分鐘內完成,就代表你根本沒有計畫。請立即聯繫我的辦公室,為你建構一套完整的方案。你未來的生存,取決於你當前的準備。

換你了。你的緊急出口在哪裡?

After four decades navigating domestic and international markets, I have witnessed exactly one common denominator between catastrophic failures and resilient successes: The absence or presence of a predefined emergency exit.

The question, “Where is your emergency exit?” is not pessimism; it is the ultimate fiduciary stress test for your life and your enterprise. You do not build a building without fire escapes, yet most of you are building empires without parachutes.

The FAA and local fire codes mandate emergency instructions because panic paralyzes logic. In business, the “emergency briefing” is your Crisis Communication Protocol.

Conduct quarterly “Red Flag” drills. If your supply chain snaps, your CFO resigns, or a PR disaster hits, do your lieutenants know the evacuation route for data, capital, and client relations without asking for your permission? If not, your operations are a fire hazard.

The Geopolitical “Hostile Environment” Strategy

what if your host country (the US) becomes structurally adversarial to you or your assets?

I advise all internationally exposed clients to maintain a “Go-Bag” portfolio: (1) A second residency permit or golden visa (Panama, Portugal, Hong Kong, Singapore), (2) geographically diversified liquid assets (offshore cash equivalents), and (3) a cloud-based digital twin of your business records accessible globally. This is not paranoia; it is sovereign risk mitigation. Your emergency plan must operate independently of local banking freezes or travel bans.

The “Hostile Spouse” Buy/Sell Agreement
Regarding partners’ spouses: State laws (community property) give that spouse a stake upon death or divorce, effectively letting a hostile actor into your boardroom.

My ironclad recommendation: Immediately execute a Cross-Purchase Buy/Sell Agreement funded by life/disability insurance. The trigger must be specifically worded to include “transfer upon divorce” or “involuntary transfer.” This forces a mandatory corporate redemption of the shares at a pre-agreed fair market value, cutting out the spouse financially and legally. Do not wait. I have seen 30-year partnerships dissolve in 30 days because this document was missing.

The Family Succession Firewall

If your children are not “business material,” handing them the keys is not a legacy; it is arson.

My recommendation: Adopt an ESOP (Employee Stock Ownership Plan) or an External Sale.

The ESOP allows you to cash out at full fair market value, provides massive tax deferrals for the seller, and secures your employees’ livelihoods—while your kids receive liquid assets (cash or a trust) rather than operational headaches. Your emergency plan should dictate that the business survives even if the bloodline does not manage it. Sell it to a strategic buyer or a private equity group now, while you are healthy, rather than forcing a fire-sale later.

The Immediate Action Plan

The 90-Day Audit: Within 90 days, have your corporate attorney review your Operating Agreement for the specific “Hostile Spouse” and “Incapacity” clauses. If they aren’t there, amend them.

The “Black Swan” Liquidity Test: Ensure you hold a minimum of 12 months of personal operating expenses in a jurisdiction outside your current nation of residence.

The Legacy Decision: Schedule a retreat within 30 days with your heirs. Clearly communicate, in writing, that succession is earned, not inherited. If they fail the competency test, activate the ESOP trigger.

Do you have an emergency plan?

My 40 years of data tell me that 80% of you are walking around without a functional Plan B. An emergency exit is not a white flag; it is a strategic repositioning tool. It gives you leverage. When the fire starts—and it will start—the one who knows exactly where the door is, walks out calmly, while everyone else burns.

My final consultant recommendation: Put down this memo, grab a pen, and physically draw your exit flowchart on a napkin right now. If you can’t finish it in 5 minutes, you don’t have a plan. Contact my office immediately to build one. Your future survival depends on your current preparedness.

Over to you. Where is your emergency exit?

Cantonese language Video: If China and the US Go to War, right wing white conservative & MEGA propose to sidestep US constitution to Round Up the 5.2 millions Chinese Americans and place them in concentration camp is getting support.

Cantonese language Video: If China and the US Go to War, right wing white conservative & MEGA propose to sidestep US constitution to Round Up the 5.2 millions Chinese Americans and place them in concentration camp is getting support. 如果中美開戰,右翼白人保守派及MAGA(讓美國再次偉大)陣營提出繞過美國憲法,將520萬華裔美國人集中營的提議,正獲得支持. (如果你認為這不會發生在美國華人身上!請你再深思熟慮一下!難道你忘了1882年的《排華法案》嗎?你有看到非裔美國人是怎麼被對待的嗎?美洲原住民是怎麼被對待的?穆斯林現在又是怎麼被對待的?在美國祗有來自歐洲的白人才是真正的美國人).
https://rumble.com/v7f0596-if-china-and-the-us-go-to-war.html
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8cALM8d/
https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AEiE8hXxvn
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid02U5ceNZC8VRfJ5GFkqkMJhKgEs6Xk52vkUdMrVjnwZBjXusPkYMmp95GAbR57H7zql&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr

Video: Hong Kong patriotic businessman Alex Yeung reported on September 1 from HK: When disaster strikes in one place, help comes from all quarters! Dr. Ho Tit-shing of HK Lions Club Kowloon donated HK200,000 for Tibet disaster relief—many thanks, deeply grateful!

Video: Hong Kong patriotic businessman Alex Yeung reported on September 1 from HK: When disaster strikes in one place, help comes from all quarters! Dr. Ho Tit-shing of HK Lions Club Kowloon donated HK200,000 for Tibet disaster relief—many thanks, deeply grateful! 香港愛國商人華記9月1日報導:一方災難、八方支援!何鐵城博士捐款200,000港幣!特別鳴謝獅子會九龍城分會何鐵城主席慷慨解囊!捐款港幣200,000西藏振災,十分感謝、十分感激!
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8cBd97f/
https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AAjaRPLlyQ
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid031Dd5p5F8wSmqFJcWNpCzxK1hnKdz4P94He4Q9i7FNH12qVS5pBE3wVJwFWYLWFDFl&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr
👉🇨🇳 https://youtu.be/xIenRr5XDPU?is=6Z5bhm_UNLywvBjw

Video: Why do we accept the dividends that the Chinese government offers to overseas Chinese and choose Zhuhai as the primary city for our future home for retirement

Video: Why do we accept the dividends that the Chinese government offers to overseas Chinese and choose Zhuhai as the primary city for our future home for retirement. By Johnson Choi, MBA, International Business Consultant since 1985

影片有中英文字幕: 為什麼我們接受中國政府給海外華人的紅利選擇在珠海作為我們將來退休和安享晚年的主要城市(影片來自Wayne). 作者: 蔡永強,商科碩士,國際財經顧問(1985年至今)
https://rumble.com/v7ezvk6-why-did-we-choose-zhuhai-as-our-future-home-for-retirement.html
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8ckxuCg/
https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AJdz31krgE
https://www.facebook.com/reel/1061954013109001/?mibextid=wwXIfr

The AI Mirage: Observations from the Edge of a Familiar Precipice. By Johnson Choi, MBA. International Business Consultant since 1985

The AI Mirage: Observations from the Edge of a Familiar Precipice. By Johnson Choi, MBA. International Business Consultant since 1985. Sept 2 2026

AI 幻象:站在熟悉懸崖邊的觀察. 作者: 蔡永強, 國際財經顧問(1985年至今).

There is a peculiar recklessness to the current frenzy. Walk into any suburban living room, and you will find ordinary Americans—not hedge fund managers, not Silicon Valley insiders—casually treating their 401(k)s as if they were roulette chips, spinning the wheel on artificial intelligence. It is alarming to watch, and yet, for those who have seen this movie before, it is painfully predictable.

當前這股狂熱瀰漫著一種奇特的魯莽。走進任何一間郊區的起居室,你都會發現普通美國人——不是對沖基金經理,也不是矽谷內部人士——正隨意地把他們的 401(k) 退休帳戶當作輪盤賭的籌碼,在人工智慧這張賭桌上奮力一搏。看著這一幕實在令人心驚,但對於那些看過同樣劇本的人來說,卻又可悲地在意料之中。

https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AMLVttu24t
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8c6uSmb/
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0rJJ5W2Knr1GWb3uDpbhgVBhqdMvRBLMFTMtckXcQgQyHhbwJXf4pDgH6bkisrubUl&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr

西元 2000 年投下了一道長長的陰影。當年,「新經濟」的承諾引誘了整個世代,讓人們相信基本面已經不再重要。隨之而來的後果是殘酷的:退休帳戶憑空蒸發、房產遭到法拍,而財務崩潰所帶來的壓力,也在無數家庭中劈開了一道道永遠無法癒合的裂縫。婚姻在融資追繳的壓力下支離破碎。如今,三十年過去了,許多當年的受災戶——容顏更顯蒼老、身體更加孱弱、距離最後一份薪水也更近了一步——卻再次落入同一個陷阱。人性,似乎從未從歷史中學到教訓,只是在下一場演出中重新背誦自己的台詞。

這次令人特別矚目的,是來自權力最高層的公開助威。這個敘事不再只是華爾街的推銷話術,而是被包裝成一場愛國十字軍東征。白宮搭配著好萊塢劇本般的科技救世主陣容,將 AI 塑造成美國的下一個邊疆,一張萬無一失的「金色入場券」。這種政治與文化的加持,為一場核心本質純屬投機的賭博,披上了看似合法的神聖外衣。幾乎沒有人停下來質疑這個神話背後的數學現實。

而數據會說話。放眼整個產業,數兆美元已經燒盡,每月持續投入的營運成本高達數百億美元。但回流營收呢?僅是涓涓細流——以百萬計,而非十億。這是個顯而易見、卻無人明說的矛盾:一個工業革命級別的變革,被市場以「永恆繁榮」的價格定價,然而收銀機卻異常安靜。利潤在哪裡?這個問題始終被擱置在財報會議的邊緣,被那些尚未到來的未來願景輕輕拂去。

除了帳面上的數字,還有更實質的限制:物理世界正在反撲。那些承載 AI 夢想的巨型數據中心,耗電量堪比小型城市,更需消耗巨量水資源來冷卻運轉中的伺服器。這些設施正大幅延後,受困於地方反對聲浪,以及資源稀缺的殘酷現實。電網尚未準備就緒。社區並不買單。然而,市場卻持續將這座夢中樓閣的價格炒得火熱,彷彿水泥與銅纜已經就位。

從外部旁觀這一切,彷彿看著一場慢動作的撞擊事故。核心問題不再是要不要修正,而是何時修正。更重要的是,浪潮退去後會留下什麼?對於眼光敏銳的觀察者而言,現在不是害怕錯過(FOMO)的時候,而是規劃停損的時刻。這個泡沫已被炒作吹脹、被權威煽動,並以一個遲遲無法兌現的未來作為正當理由。

歷史不會重演,但總會驚人地相似。而這首韻腳聽起來,像極了一首輓歌。從一個親眼見證上次崩盤代價的旁觀者角度,唯一值得給出的忠告是:如果你今天看不見利潤,就別拿明天來抵押。這場矽金熱或許終將改變世界——但在那之前,它肯定還會再埋葬不少人的財富。

The year 2000 casts a long shadow. Back then, the promise of the “new economy” seduced a generation into believing that fundamentals no longer mattered. The aftermath was brutal: retirement accounts vaporized, homes were lost, and the stress of financial ruin carved permanent fissures through families. Marriages buckled under the weight of margin calls. Now, three decades later, many of those same individuals—grayer, frailer, and far closer to their last paychecks—are falling into the same trap. Human nature, it seems, learns nothing from history; it only rehearses its lines for the next performance.

What is striking about this iteration is the visible cheerleading from the highest offices. The narrative is no longer just a Wall Street pitch; it is a patriotic crusade. The White House, aided by a Hollywood-scripted cast of tech messiahs, has framed AI as the next American frontier, a golden ticket that cannot be missed. This political and cultural endorsement lends an air of legitimacy to what is, at its core, a speculative gamble. Few pause to question the math beneath the mythology.

And the math is glaring. Across the industry, trillions have been spent. Monthly operating costs run into the tens of billions. Yet the revenue coming back? A mere trickle—millions, not billions. This is the great unspoken contradiction: an industrial revolution priced like eternal prosperity, while the cash registers remain eerily quiet. Where are the profits? The question lingers in the margins of earnings calls, brushed aside by visions of a future that has not yet arrived.

Beyond the balance sheets, there is a more tangible constraint: the physical world is pushing back. The colossal data centers powering this dream require more electricity than small cities, and water to cool their humming servers. These facilities are falling behind schedule, stalled by local opposition and the sheer scarcity of resources. The grid is not ready. The communities are not willing. And yet, the market prices the dream as if the concrete and copper are already in place.

To observe all this from the outside is to watch a slow-motion collision. The central question is not if the correction will come, but when. And more importantly, what will remain afterward? For the prudent eye, this is not a moment for FOMO, but for damage control. The bubble has been inflated by hype, fueled by authority, and justified by a future that refuses to materialize on time.

History does not repeat, but it rhymes. And this rhyme sounds hauntingly like a dirge. The only counsel worth offering, from the vantage point of an observer who has counted the cost of the last crash, is this: if you cannot see the profits today, do not mortgage your tomorrow. The silicon gold rush may yet change the world—but it will likely bury a few more fortunes before it does.

China’s Lesson From the U.S.

China’s Lesson From the U.S.: Finance Must Serve, Not Rule: A nation’s rise begins in factories, but it can end on Wall Street. Over the past 500 years, four great powers have followed the same fatal cycle: commercial expansion, industrial dominance, financial supremacy, and eventual manufacturing decline. Is this a historical cycle China can break?

中國從美國學到的教訓:金融必須服務,而非統治——一個國家的崛起始於工廠,卻可能終結於華爾街。過去五百年來,四大強權依循著同樣的致命循環:商業擴張、工業主導、金融霸權,最終迎來製造業的衰落。這是否是一個中國能夠打破的歷史週期?

https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AnGyBp1Kdk
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8cYHeYg/
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid02x2cwuX5pSaYJQVNnqRDMvk3q4LcYYCyD3Py8mWQunmjWpF6vcBZs66gBjzuPTurml&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr

Only China can do it in days

Only China can do it in days! Case in point: In Hawaii, a 26 miles slow rail took 12 years still unfinished, 3x over budget. In China, 20,000 miles high speed rail completed on time and within budget.

只有中國能在幾天內做到!舉例來說:在夏威夷,一條26英里的緩慢鐵路花了12年仍未完工,預算超支3倍。在中國,20,000英里的高鐵準時且在預算內完工。

https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AnB59t9E9R
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8cYp27n/
https://www.facebook.com/100036400039778/posts/pfbid02UdisUuSmbFyJsZGVgXQA1nLGym5mdEBXgmHXQYEGkft1T5Q7E3GWxf96RuHiHZ1Dl/?mibextid=wwXIfr

就在幾天內,救援人員於週三全面恢復了通往中國西南部西藏自治區泥石流受災吉隆口岸的G216國道通行。

In days, Rescuers on Wednesday fully reopened the G216 national highway leading to mudslide-hit Gyirong Port in southwest China’s Xizang Autonomous Region.

Xi Jinping Signs Order! Revised ‘National Defense Mobilization Law’ Passed!

Xi Jinping Signs Order! Revised ‘National Defense Mobilization Law’ Passed! 习近平签署主席令!新版”国防动员法”通过! 中國戰前準備!
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8cNUL67/
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid02qZUzY7vsegxr9tiWtCcjQkjUY1QkqPXmCPQ8jp6xFC9fKaHiBH7e74yWp4yedBUZl&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr

VIDEO: NEPAL ACCESS ROUTE OPENING SOON! ARAY OF HOPE IN DESPAIR! BREAKTHROUGH IN GYRONG LAND RESCUE! CHINA HEAVY MACHINERY ADVANCES INTO THE CORE AREA!

VIDEO: NEPAL ACCESS ROUTE OPENING SOON! ARAY OF HOPE IN DESPAIR! BREAKTHROUGH IN GYRONG LAND RESCUE! CHINA HEAVY MACHINERY ADVANCES INTO THE CORE AREA! 尼泊爾聯外道路即將開通! 絕望中的曙光! 丐隆陸路救災大哭彼! 中國重型機械挺進核心區!

China sent in rescue teams, heavy equipments, tons of relief materials to Nepal while the Western world just watched or given empty lips service! 中國派出了救援隊伍、重型設備和大量救災物資前往尼泊爾,而西方世界卻只是袖手旁觀,或者只會說些空話
https://rumble.com/v7ey8z2-video-nepal-access-route-opening-soon.html
https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AAXE1ETy18
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid02sP69i6kwPNJMr9fPN6FFYUhjJrxtZnPAJg5CLJDWRF2CPUjz9Mw7KvjJeuwX5Cril&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr