China Is Increasingly Holding the Cards. By Johnson Choi, MBA, International Business Consultant since 1985
中國正日益掌握主動權。作者：蔡永強，工商管理碩士，國際財經顧問（1985年至今）
特朗普與美國一些最富有、最具影響力的企業高管齊聚白宮，與習近平會面並交際，而中國幾乎沒有任何商界領袖出席。
這種對比本身就向美國人傳遞了一個強烈的訊息：華盛頓的政治與企業精英顯然認認識到與中國及其領導層直接接觸的重要性，儘管中國商界似乎遠不那麼依賴進入美國頂層圈子。
一旦你撇開美國荷里活超級英雄幻想的浮華表象，一個更深層的現實便會浮現：中國實際上正掌握着未來的大多數籌碼。
曾經不可一世的美元霸權正顯現裂痕，因為去美元化在越來越多的央行中獲得動能。
美國工業基礎的崩潰似乎已不可逆轉，使其無法維持進一步的戰爭努力。
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中國在人工智能領域正迅速趕上，預計將在未來三到五年內與美國持平 – 甚至超越。
美國在晶片技術上仍略佔優勢，但預計中國將在同一時間框架內縮小這一差距。
美國的軍事裝備，包括其軍艦，正在老化，其投射軍事力量的能力已受到嚴重削弱。
在太空技術方面，無需成為科學家也能看出，美國太空站與中國的相比處境有多麼不堪。
與此同時，在英語世界中，美國及其盟友控制着大多數媒體機構，利用它們推動自身的政治議程 – 往往通過針對中國的虛假資訊和宣傳。
Trump and some of America’s wealthiest and most influential business executives gathered at the White House to meet and rub shoulders with Xi Jinping, while virtually none of China’s leading business figures were present.
That contrast itself sends a powerful message to Americans: Washington’s political and corporate elite clearly recognize the importance of engaging directly with China and its leadership, even as China’s business community appears far less dependent on gaining access to America’s top circles.
Once you look past the spectacle of American Hollywood superhero fantasies, a deeper reality emerges: China is practically holding most of the cards going forward.
The once-almighty U.S. dollar hegemony is showing cracks, as de-dollarization gains traction among a growing number of central banks.
The collapse of America’s industrial base appears irreversible, leaving it unable to sustain further war efforts.
China is rapidly catching up in artificial intelligence and is expected to reach parity with—or surpass—the United States within the next three to five years.
The U.S. still holds a slight edge in chip technology, but China is expected to close that gap within the same timeframe.
America’s military hardware, including its warships, is aging, and its ability to project military power has been severely handicapped.
In space technology, one need not be a scientist to see the sorry state of the U.S. space station compared with China’s.
Meanwhile, in the English-speaking world, the U.S. and its allies control most media outlets, using them to push their political agenda—often through misinformation and propaganda directed against China.
