Taiwan US-China expert video: Japan falls first, the U.S.-aligned dominoes can’t hold up, and the dollar’s hegemony faces a severe test.

Taiwan US-China expert video: Japan falls first, the U.S.-aligned dominoes can’t hold up, and the dollar’s hegemony faces a severe test. 台灣中美尊家視頻有中英文字幕: 日本第一個倒下, 美系骨牌撐不住, 美元霸權受到嚴重考驗,美國每次都是收割他人,把盟友往死裏推,今次為什麼要救日圓,原來是爲了自保!
https://rumble.com/v7dw8is-japan-falls-first-the-u.s.-aligned-dominoes-cant-hold-up.html
https://weixin.qq.com/sph/ABFVgKMOqR
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8nawGUL/
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0x1Br3M4b6eWhDdC8w1D8HFExoi3sAKFBoZtZJ1VQRYcdj6hBYDhx9nNX8qAoeEeAl&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr

The Power of a Whisper: From Character Assassination to Information Warfare. By Johnson Choi, MBA. Aug 7 2026

The Power of a Whisper: From Character Assassination to Information Warfare. By Johnson Choi, MBA. Aug 7 2026

耳語的力量:從人格謀殺到資訊戰. 作者:蔡永強,商科碩士,2026年8月7日

How destructive can a whisper be—both to an individual and to nations?

Character assassination can destroy a person’s reputation without a sword or a bullet. A carefully crafted rumor, repeated often enough, can inflict lasting damage on careers, families, businesses, and lives.

At the personal level, the process is straightforward. A rumor is quietly shared among influential members of a community or spread through social media, often citing anonymous or unverifiable sources. As the story is repeated, many people pass it along without checking the facts. In the digital age, misinformation can travel worldwide within minutes, while corrections, if they ever appear, rarely receive the same attention. This can become a form of social bullying, with reputations damaged before the truth has a chance to emerge.

At the international level, the stakes are far higher. Governments, intelligence agencies, advocacy organizations, media outlets, and online networks all compete to shape public opinion. Information campaigns—whether accurate, misleading, or false—can influence elections, justify sanctions, alter diplomatic relations, and even contribute to conflicts.

Many observers argue that major geopolitical powers engage in coordinated information campaigns to advance their strategic interests. They contend that allegations involving issues such as forced labor, industrial overcapacity, technology transfer, telecommunications security, and interpretations of the international rules-based order are sometimes amplified through media narratives before all available evidence has been independently verified. Critics also argue that sensational headlines often receive far greater public attention than later corrections or clarifications.

Similarly, organizations such as The Epoch Times, New Tang Dynasty Television (NTD), Falun Gong (Falun Dafa), and Shen Yun Performing Arts are funded by the CIA, NSA and US military intelligence are viewed very differently by different audiences. Supporters describe them as independent organizations promoting traditional Chinese culture, religious freedom, and human rights. Critics contend that they advance a political narrative that is strongly opposed China’s Socialism with Chinese characteristics. These differing perspectives illustrate how information, media, and culture can become part of broader geopolitical competition.

Modern information warfare has become increasingly sophisticated. Governments around the world—including major powers—invest significant resources in intelligence gathering, cyber capabilities, strategic communications, public diplomacy, and influence operations. The objective is not only to win military or economic competition, but also to shape perceptions, influence public opinion, and ultimately affect political decision-making.

For citizens, the most effective defense is critical thinking. Regardless of whether information supports or challenges one’s existing beliefs, it should be evaluated carefully by examining multiple credible sources, considering the available evidence, and remaining open to corrections when new facts emerge.

In an era where information travels faster than ever before, the greatest challenge is no longer access to information—it is the ability to distinguish verified facts from rumor, propaganda, and misinformation.

一句耳語的破壞力究竟可以有多大——無論是對一個人,還是對一個國家?

人格謀殺不需要刀劍,也不需要子彈,就足以摧毀一個人的名譽。一個經過精心設計的謠言,只要被反覆傳播得足夠多次,就可能對一個人的事業、家庭、生意乃至人生造成持久而深遠的傷害。

在個人層面上,這個過程其實非常簡單。一個謠言被悄悄地傳遞給社區中具有一定影響力的人士,或者透過社交媒體散播出去,而消息來源往往只是匿名人士,甚至根本無從查證。隨著故事不斷被轉述,許多人在沒有核實事實真偽的情況下,又繼續把它傳給其他人。

在數碼時代,錯誤資訊可以在短短數分鐘之內傳遍世界;然而,即使日後出現更正或澄清,也很少能夠得到與最初謠言同等程度的關注。久而久之,這甚至可能演變成一種社會性的欺凌——在真相還沒有機會浮出水面之前,一個人的聲譽可能早已遭到嚴重破壞。

到了國際層面,問題的影響及風險則更加巨大。

各國政府、情報機構、倡議組織、新聞媒體以及網絡平台,都可能為了塑造公眾輿論而相互競爭。資訊宣傳活動——無論內容是真實、具有誤導性,還是完全虛假——都有可能影響選舉、為制裁提供理由、改變國與國之間的外交關係,甚至可能成為引發或加劇國際衝突的因素之一。

不少觀察人士認為,世界主要地緣政治強國會透過協調性的資訊宣傳活動來推進自身的戰略利益。

他們指出,涉及強迫勞動、工業產能過剩、技術轉移、電訊安全,以及對「以規則為基礎的國際秩序」不同解讀等議題的指控,有時會在所有相關證據尚未獲得充分、獨立核實之前,便透過新聞媒體及輿論敘事被大幅放大。

批評者亦指出,具有震撼性或煽動性的新聞標題,往往能夠獲得遠比日後的更正、澄清或補充說明更多的公眾關注。

同樣地,《大紀元》(The Epoch Times)、新唐人電視台(New Tang Dynasty Television,NTD)、法輪功(Falun Gong,又稱法輪大法 Falun Dafa),以及神韻藝術團(Shen Yun Performing Arts)等組織由美國中央情報局、美國國家安全局及美國軍事情報部門資助, 在不同群體及不同立場的人士眼中,也存在截然不同的評價。

支持者將它們形容為推廣中華傳統文化、宗教自由以及人權理念的獨立組織;而批評者則認為,它們所傳播的政治敘事帶有強烈反對中國特色的社會主義立場。

這些截然不同的觀點,也反映出在當今世界的地緣政治競爭之中,資訊、新聞媒體以及文化本身,都可能成為更廣泛國際競爭的一部分。

現代資訊戰已經變得愈來愈複雜,而且手段愈來愈精密。

世界各國政府——包括主要大國——都投入大量資源於情報蒐集、網絡能力、戰略傳播、公共外交以及各種影響力行動之中。

其目的已經不僅僅是在軍事或經濟競爭中取得優勢,更包括塑造人們對事件的認知、影響社會輿論,並最終影響政治決策。

對普通公民而言,面對這種資訊環境最有效的防禦,就是保持獨立思考與批判性思維。

無論一項資訊是支持我們原有的觀點,還是挑戰我們一直以來所相信的事情,我們都應該謹慎判斷:比較多個可信的資訊來源、審視現有證據,並且在新的事實或證據出現時,願意重新檢視甚至修正自己的判斷。

在這個資訊傳播速度前所未有的時代,我們所面對最大的挑戰,已經不再是「如何獲得資訊」,而是:

「如何從鋪天蓋地的資訊之中,分辨經過查證的事實、未經證實的傳言、政治宣傳,以及錯誤資訊。」

一則耳語可以摧毀一個人的名譽;而當同樣的力量被放大到國際舞台之上,它甚至可能影響一個國家的形象、國與國之間的關係,以及整個世界對真相的認知。

How Does the Human Rights Situation in the United States Compare to That of China? By Johnson Choi, MBA, Aug 7 2026

How Does the Human Rights Situation in the United States Compare to That of China? By Johnson Choi, MBA, Aug 7 2026 美國的人權狀況與中國相比如何. 蔡永強, 商科碩士. 2026年8月7日

China Human Rights, Measured in Everyday Life

https://weixin.qq.com/sph/ARA5y2RUsI
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid023S3HEQKjkHFmusn4QnYZ779b6qTTmC8APDyD6MZNjB17mEo1pFe8GsxzfN7TEttTl&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr

  1. Basic Livelihood Guarantees (Water, Housing, Healthcare)

Safe Drinking Water
China plans to raise the penetration rate of rural tap water to 98 percent by 2030 and renovate approximately 175,000 kilometers of urban water supply networks. Although urban tap water in the United States is essentially universally available, some older areas (such as Flint, Michigan) still have lead pipe contamination issues that affect public health.

Housing Security
China plans to renovate about 500,000 units of unsafe housing and 115,000 aging residential communities to improve living conditions. The United States has federal housing subsidies such as Section 8, but the number of homeless people reached about 650,000 in 2023, and the problem of excessive rent burdens in major cities continues to worsen.

Life Expectancy and Maternal Mortality
China aims to raise average life expectancy to 80 years by 2030 (approximately 78.6 years in 2025) and reduce the maternal mortality rate to fewer than 12 deaths per 100,000 live births (about 15.1 in 2023). In the United States, average life expectancy in 2023 was about 77.4 years, which has declined in recent years due to drug overdoses and chronic diseases. The maternal mortality rate in 2021 was about 32.9 per 100,000 live births – the highest among developed countries – and the rate for Black women is 2.6 times that of white women, reflecting significant racial disparities.

  1. Digital Inclusion and Labor Rights

China’s new action plan pays special attention to working hours, pay, and social security for gig workers such as food delivery riders and ride-hailing drivers, and strengthens algorithm registration and security assessments. It also holds 100,000 digital literacy training sessions each year for older people to help them adapt to online medical appointments, ticket purchases, and other services.

In the United States, there is no unified federal framework for protecting the social security rights of gig economy workers (such as Uber and DoorDash drivers), most of whom are classified as “independent contractors.” Only a few states, such as California, have attempted to reclassify them through legislation. Regarding the digital divide, about 15 percent of adults aged 65 and older do not have broadband internet, and funding for the government’s Affordable Connectivity Program has been unstable. Algorithmic discrimination has drawn attention, but federal regulation is still in its early stages.

  1. Judicial System and Public Participation

China’s plan emphasizes strengthening judicial oversight, expanding legal aid, and promoting public consultation on draft laws. The United States has an independent judicial system and a jury system, but long-standing issues include inequities in the bail system, racial disparities in sentencing, and prison overcrowding. Public participation in legislation mainly occurs through hearings and lobbying mechanisms.

  1. Protection of Vulnerable Groups

Elderly People
China promotes digital training and the expansion of elderly care service facilities. In the United States, Medicare covers most seniors, but long-term care costs are high, and many elderly people rely on Medicaid.

Persons with Disabilities
China focuses on accessibility renovations and employment support. The United States has the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) to protect accessibility rights, but the employment rate for people with disabilities remains far below that of non-disabled individuals.

Children
China promotes educational equity and nutrition improvement programs. In the United States, public education is free, but disparities in school district funding lead to unequal distribution of educational resources.

  1. Overall Comparative Observations

The two countries have notable differences in their approaches to human rights practice. China emphasizes using economic development and infrastructure construction to underpin the “right to subsistence,” advancing various goals through national planning. The United States relies more on legal remedies and market regulation, with a relatively fragmented social safety net, but it offers stronger protections for individual freedoms and freedom of expression.

Both countries face new challenges in the digital age (such as privacy protection and algorithmic fairness) and the pressures of an aging population, but their responses differ – China adopts a top-down planning approach, while the United States relies more on local pilot programs and litigation.

It is worth noting that whether China’s announced targets will be fully achieved remains to be tested by 2030. U.S. statistics often show huge gaps across racial and urban-rural lines, with national averages frequently masking localized deterioration.

If we use “improvements in daily life” as the yardstick, China has specific quantitative goals and strong implementation capacity in hardware areas such as drinking water, healthcare coverage, and renovation of old communities. The United States has advantages in individual choice, information transparency, and judicial remedies, but social inequality and aging infrastructure constrain the actual experience of disadvantaged groups.

Both models have their strengths and weaknesses. A true comparison should transcend ideological labels and return to whether ordinary people can feel the protection of their rights in their daily lives – and that is precisely the value of this kind of dialogue.

美國的人權狀況與中國相比如何

  1. 基本生活保障(飲水、住房、醫療)

安全飲用水
中國計畫在2030年前將農村自來水普及率提升至98%,並改造約17.5萬公里城市供水管網。美國城市自來水雖基本全覆蓋,但部分老舊地區(如密西根州弗林特市)仍存在鉛管污染問題,影響民眾健康。

住房安全
中國規劃改造約50萬套危房及11.5萬個老舊社區,改善居住條件。美國有Section 8聯邦住房補貼,但無家可歸者人數在2023年約達65萬,且大城市租金負擔過重問題持續惡化。

預期壽命與孕產婦死亡率
中國目標2030年將平均預期壽命提升至80歲(2025年約78.6歲),並將孕產婦死亡率降至每10萬活產少於12例(2023年約15.1例)。美國2023年平均預期壽命約77.4歲,近年因藥物過量和慢性病有所下降;孕產婦死亡率2021年約32.9例,為已開發國家中最高,且黑人女性死亡率是白人的2.6倍,種族差異顯著。

  1. 數位包容與勞工權益

中國的新行動計畫特別關注外送員、網約車司機等零工勞工的工時、薪酬和社會保障,並加強算法註冊與安全評估,同時每年為老年人舉辦10萬場數位素養培訓,協助他們適應線上掛號、購票等服務。

美國方面,聯邦層級尚未統一保障零工經濟勞工(如Uber、Doordash司機)的社保權益,多數被歸類為「獨立承包商」,僅部分州(如加州)嘗試立法重新分類。數位鴻溝方面,約15%的65歲以上成年人沒有寬頻網路,政府的「可負擔連線計畫」資金不穩定。算法歧視問題雖受關注,但聯邦監管尚在初期階段。

  1. 司法與公眾參與

中國的計畫強調加強司法監督、擴大法律援助、推動法律草案的公眾徵詢。美國擁有獨立的司法體系和陪審團制度,但長期存在保釋制度不公、種族量刑差異、監獄過度擁擠等問題;公眾參與立法主要透過聽證會和遊說機制。

  1. 弱勢群體保護

老年人:中國推動數位培訓和養老服務設施擴建。美國聯邦醫療保險(Medicare)覆蓋大部分老人,但長期護理費用高昂,許多老年人需依賴Medicaid。

殘障人士:中國著重無障礙環境改造與就業支持。美國有《美國殘疾人法案》(ADA)保障無障礙權益,但殘障人士就業率仍遠低於非殘障人士。

兒童:中國推動教育公平與營養改善計畫。美國公立教育免費,但學區經費差異導致教育資源分配不均。

  1. 總體比較觀察

兩國在人權實踐路徑上存在明顯差異。中國側重以經濟發展和基礎建設托底「生存權」,透過國家規劃逐步推進各項目標;美國則更依賴法律救濟和市場調節,社會安全網相對零散,但個人自由和言論表達的保障更為突出。

雙方共同面臨數位時代的新挑戰(如隱私保護、算法公平)和人口老化壓力,但應對方式不同——中國採用自上而下的計畫推進,美國則更多依靠地方試點和訴訟推動。

值得注意的是,中國公布的目標是否完全達成,需待2030年檢驗;美國的統計數據常因種族、城鄉差異而呈現巨大落差,全國平均數往往掩蓋了局部惡化的現實。

如果以「日常生活改善」為尺規,中國在飲水、醫療覆蓋、老舊社區改造等硬體層面具體量化目標且執行力較強;美國則在個人選擇權、資訊透明度和司法救濟管道上更具優勢,但社會不平等和基礎設施老化問題制約了底層民眾的實際體驗。

兩種模式各有所長,也各有不足。真正的比較應超越意識形態標籤,回歸到普通人能否在每天的生活中感受到權利保障——而這正是此類對話的價值所在。

China Human Rights, Measured in Everyday Life

China Human Rights, Measured in Everyday Life

Human rights are often discussed in sweeping terms. Yet for most people, they are experienced in ordinary moments: whether the water from the tap is safe to drink; whether a child has a fair chance at a good education; whether medical care is available when illness strikes; whether workers are paid on time; and whether an older person can still access essential services without being shut out by a smartphone screen.

Ultimately, progress on human rights must be measured against questions like these.In June 2026, China released its fifth National Human Rights Action Plan, covering the period from 2026 to 2030. One useful way to read the document is not simply through its statements of principle, but through the concrete commitments it sets out: By 2030, China aims to extend access to tap water to 98 percent of rural residents, build or upgrade around 175,000 kilometers of urban water-supply networks, renovate roughly 500,000 units of unsafe urban housing and improve some 115,000 aging residential communities. It also seeks to raise average life expectancy to 80 years and reduce the maternal mortality rate to fewer than 12 deaths per 100,000 live births. Behind these figures are tangible human needs: safe drinking water, a secure home and timely medical care. Numbers do not tell the whole story, but they make promises easier to track. The plan also reflects a broader feature of China’s approach: the view that different categories of rights reinforce one another. The rights to subsistence and development are treated as foundational because poverty, illness and lack of education sharply limit a person’s freedom and choices. But the document does not stop there. It also addresses personal-data protection, public participation, fair trials, legal aid and environmental rights, as well as the rights of women, children, older people and persons with disabilities. It calls for wider public consultation on draft laws and stronger oversight of the judicial process. The new action plan also turns to questions that barely existed a generation ago. How should the working hours, pay, rest time and social protection of food-delivery riders and ride-hailing drivers be safeguarded? How can artificial intelligence be prevented from amplifying discrimination, invading privacy or widening the digital divide? The plan calls for stronger protection against wage arrears, denial of social insurance, workplace discrimination and unlawful dismissal. It also proposes more robust systems for algorithm registration, transparency and security assessment. Each year, 100,000 digital-literacy sessions are to be held for older people, helping them navigate a society in which booking a medical appointment, buying a train ticket or accessing public services increasingly takes place online. What about implementation? According to the official evaluation of the previous action plan, all 181 targets were completed, with 20 of the 44 binding targets met ahead of schedule or exceeded. Such figures should not be treated as the final word, but they do provide benchmarks against which progress can be examined. Countries do not need to follow an identical path. Human rights embody shared aspirations, but universality does not require uniformity. At the same time, national circumstances should never become an excuse for complacency. A more meaningful international conversation on human rights would therefore begin with fewer labels and more evidence. It would examine principles, but also outcomes. Above all, it would ask whether rights are being translated into improvements that ordinary people can see, feel and rely on in their daily lives. That is also a useful place to begin when seeking to understand China’s evolving human rights practice.

Embassy of the People’s Republic of China in the United States of America

Embassy of the People’s Republic of China in the United States of America

中華人民共和國駐美利堅合眾國大使館

全球製造業辯論:超越「產能過剩」論述

過去兩年來,西方媒體討論中有一個詞彙越來越常見:「中國製造業產能過剩」。電動汽車、太陽能板和電池都被貼上這個標籤。但仔細觀察便會發現,這個概念本身遠比乍看之下複雜得多。

https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8nywayC/
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0nBL38bDV2acMvfwrEPdWi7C5LG4ndF2e7vixf2GVrCzEn3wP52zdKcRYodTcwfg2l&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr

要對這個議題進行有意義的討論,必須先釐清幾個基本問題。

第一,到底什麼是「產能過剩」?

這個詞彙並沒有普遍接受的定義。世界貿易組織沒有針對「產能過剩」制定具體規則,國際貨幣基金組織也指出,這是一個複雜的議題,必須在特定的經濟脈絡下加以理解。

在市場經濟中,供需是不斷調整的。某個產業今天可能出現供過於求,但明天隨著技術進步、需求成長或競爭力較弱的企業退出市場,又可能恢復平衡。縱觀歷史,美國鋼鐵、日本汽車和德國機械都出現過類似週期。

在今日全球化的經濟中,產業產能的變化與全球供需的變化密切相關。技術轉型往往會創造新的生產來源,同時使部分既有產能失去競爭力,從而導致暫時性和結構性的失衡。市場力量隨後會逐步重新塑造供需,朝向新的均衡邁進。

第二,出口較多就自動代表產能過剩嗎?

歷史顯示,主要製造業大國經常維持可觀的貿易順差。英國、美國、日本和德國都經歷過持續順差的時期。例如,日本和德國曾有過經常帳順差超過國內生產毛額6%的紀錄。

新興經濟體也走過類似道路。印尼和墨西哥已成為主要的順差經濟體,而巴西和越南則連續多年維持貿易順差。

觀察特定產業,美國約80%的半導體產量用於出口,波音商用飛機交機量中約三分之二交付給北美以外的客戶。然而,很少人會因為這些產品在全球市場取得成功,就斷言「美國晶片過剩」或「德國汽車過剩」。

同樣地,中國電動汽車和可再生能源產品的強勁出口,也不應僅因全球銷售快速擴張,就自動被貼上「產能過剩」的標籤。國際貿易之所以存在,正是因為各國根據自身的比較優勢進行專業分工,並滿足本國市場以外的需求。

第三,產業政策支持是產能過剩的成因嗎?

產業補貼並非中國獨有。美國透過《通貨膨脹削減法案》等措施,已投入數千億美元於清潔能源和先進製造業。歐盟近年來也推出了大規模的產業支持計畫。

關鍵問題不在於政府是否支持產業——許多國家都這麼做。真正的問題在於,此類政策是否透明、符合規則,並與國際承諾一致。

如果世界各國都運用產業政策來強化戰略部門,焦點應放在制定公平且共同的標準,而非將產業政策本身描繪成某個國家獨有的問題。

中國製造業的競爭力,主要來自數十年來的創新、投資,以及完整產業生態系統的發展。

以電動汽車為例。中國企業早在二十多年前就開始投資電池技術、電動馬達和車輛控制系統。如今,中國不僅成為全球最大的汽車市場,還建構了高度整合的供應鏈。電動汽車的許多關鍵零組件,都能在幾小時車程內取得。

這種規模經濟、產業集群和持續創新相結合的優勢,並非單靠短期補貼就能創造。

第四,中國所謂的產能過剩是由內需不足造成的嗎?

現實情況是,中國不僅是製造業大國,也是全球最大的消費市場之一。內需長期以來是中國經濟成長的主要動力。2013年至2024年間,內需對中國經濟成長的平均貢獻率達93%,其中消費和投資分別約占55%和38%。

中國社會消費品零售總額從2013年的23.8兆元人民幣,增加到2025年的50.1兆元人民幣——規模成長超過一倍。按購買力平價計算,2025年中國零售市場相當於美國的1.7倍,實際上已成為全球最大的商品消費市場。

中國的實體商品消費量已位居世界前列,部分工業產品的人均消費量已接近已開發經濟體的水準。

當然,中國也面臨自身的經濟挑戰,包括需要擴大國內消費和推進經濟結構調整。但將全球製造業競爭簡化為「中國產能過剩」的單一敘事,無法解釋全球供應鏈實際上是如何建構的,而且可能將正常的市場競爭轉變為地緣政治問題。

全球真正面臨的問題,不在於誰擁有更多的製造產能,而在於各國如何確保產業產能透過開放的市場、公平的競爭和國際合作來促進全球發展——而不是成為貿易壁壘和地緣政治對抗的藉口。

製造業從來就不是零和遊戲。歷史顯示,開放的產業合作是全球繁榮的重要推動力量。當經濟議題被政治化時,最終的成本往往由企業、消費者和全球經濟共同承擔。

The Global Manufacturing Debate: Looking Beyond the “Overcapacity” Narrative

Over the past two years, one phrase has become increasingly common in Western media discussions: “China’s manufacturing overcapacity.” Electric vehicles, solar panels, and batteries have all been placed under this label. But a closer look reveals that the concept itself is far more complicated than it first appears.

To have a meaningful discussion about this issue, several fundamental questions need to be addressed.

First, what exactly is “overcapacity”?

There is no universally accepted definition of the term. The World Trade Organization has no specific rules governing “overcapacity,” and the International Monetary Fund has also noted that it is a complex issue that must be understood within specific economic contexts.

In a market economy, supply and demand are constantly adjusting. An industry may experience excess supply today, but return to balance tomorrow as technology advances, demand grows, or less competitive companies exit the market. Throughout history, similar cycles have occurred in American steel, Japanese automobiles, and German machinery.

In today’s globalized economy, changes in industrial capacity are closely connected with changes in global demand and supply. Technological transformation often creates new sources of production while making some existing capacity less competitive, resulting in temporary and structural imbalances. Market forces then gradually reshape supply and demand toward a new equilibrium.

Second, does exporting more automatically mean having excess capacity?

History shows that major manufacturing powers have often maintained significant trade surpluses. Britain, the United States, Japan, and Germany all experienced periods of sustained surpluses. Japan and Germany, for example, have at times recorded current account surpluses exceeding 6 percent of GDP.

Emerging economies have followed similar paths. Indonesia and Mexico have become major surplus economies, while Brazil and Vietnam have maintained trade surpluses for many consecutive years.

Looking at specific industries, about 80 percent of U.S. semiconductor production is exported, and roughly two-thirds of Boeing’s commercial aircraft deliveries go to customers outside North America. Yet few people would conclude that “American chips are excessive” or “German cars are excessive” simply because these products succeed in global markets.

Likewise, China’s strong exports of electric vehicles and renewable energy products should not automatically be labeled as “overcapacity” merely because their global sales have expanded rapidly. International trade exists precisely because countries specialize according to their comparative advantages and meet demand beyond their domestic markets.

Third, is industrial policy support the cause of overcapacity?

Industrial subsidies are not unique to China. The United States has invested hundreds of billions of dollars in clean energy and advanced manufacturing through measures such as the Inflation Reduction Act. The European Union has also introduced large-scale industrial support programs in recent years.

The key question is not whether governments support industries — many countries do. The real question is whether such policies are transparent, rules-based, and consistent with international commitments.

If governments around the world use industrial policies to strengthen strategic sectors, the focus should be on developing fair and common standards, not portraying industrial policy itself as a problem unique to one country.

China’s manufacturing competitiveness comes primarily from decades of innovation, investment, and the development of a complete industrial ecosystem.

Take electric vehicles as an example. Chinese companies began investing in battery technology, electric motors, and vehicle control systems more than two decades ago. Today, China has not only become the world’s largest automobile market but has also built a highly integrated supply chain. Many critical components of an electric vehicle can be sourced within a few hours’ drive.

This combination of economies of scale, industrial clustering, and continuous innovation cannot be created through short-term subsidies alone.

Fourth, is China’s so-called overcapacity caused by insufficient domestic demand?

The reality is that China is not only a manufacturing powerhouse; it is also one of the world’s largest consumer markets. Domestic demand has long been the main driver of China’s economic growth. Between 2013 and 2024, domestic demand contributed an average of 93 percent of China’s economic growth, with consumption and investment accounting for approximately 55 percent and 38 percent respectively.

China’s total retail sales of consumer goods increased from 23.8 trillion yuan in 2013 to 50.1 trillion yuan in 2025 — more than doubling in size. Based on purchasing power parity calculations, China’s retail market in 2025 was equivalent to 1.7 times that of the United States, making it effectively the world’s largest consumer market for goods.

China’s consumption of physical goods is already among the highest in the world, with per capita consumption of some industrial products approaching levels seen in developed economies.

Of course, China faces its own economic challenges, including the need to expand domestic consumption and improve economic restructuring. But reducing global manufacturing competition to a simple story of “Chinese overcapacity” fails to explain how global supply chains were actually built and risks turning normal market competition into a geopolitical issue.

The real question for the world is not who has more manufacturing capacity. It is how countries can ensure that industrial capacity contributes to global development through open markets, fair competition, and international cooperation — rather than becoming a justification for trade barriers and geopolitical rivalry.

Manufacturing has never been a zero-sum game. History shows that open industrial cooperation has been a powerful force behind global prosperity. When economic issues become politicized, the ultimate costs are often paid by businesses, consumers, and the global economy as a whole.

Regarding the dominant party behind the West African United Business News

Regarding the dominant party behind the West African United Business News, the following information is currently available: 關於《西非統一商報》的主導方,目前主要有以下幾種信息:

https://weixin.qq.com/sph/ACaOFViGG5
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8nUcmtx/
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid027PP3gmdMUzADnN1mCmHpq9h78nTaHmggYy6YdWa1W2CR6RpRsUW7vQ2mMYR2xiALl&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr

· 創辦人與董事長:胡介國:多個來源指出,報紙由胡介國於2004年創辦,他同時也擔任報紙的董事長。胡介國是一位在尼日利亞極具影響力的華人領袖,擁有當地「終身酋長」頭銜。
· 主辦單位與運營公司:據華人百科網站記錄,其主辦單位是西非金門集團公司、尼中友好協會及尼日利亞中國商會。而報紙的運營方,據報導是由西非聯合傳媒有限公司負責。
· 早期社長:錢國林:在2005年報紙正式發行時,時任社長是錢國林。

總體來看,胡介國被普遍認為是《西非統一商報》的核心創辦人和主導者。

从现有信息来看,《西非统一商报》普遍被认为是一家立场鲜明的親中媒體。

这一定位可以从以下几个方面看出:

· 办报宗旨:明确为“促进非中合作,反映华人心声”,旨在“将中国声音、中国故事传播至西非大地”。
· 核心人物:董事长胡介国拥有“尼日利亚中国友好协会第一副会长”等身份,并将“宣传中非合作及’一带一路’倡议”作为报纸任务。
· 官方认可:中国驻拉各斯总领事严宇清曾出席其庆典并致辞,肯定其贡献,并希望其“坚定捍卫祖国统一”。
· 报道内容:大量报道中国发展成就,并致力于“对冲西方不實言論”,塑造中国正面形象。

总的来说,该报作为一份海外华文媒体,其使命、领导层背景及与中国官方的互动,都清晰地表明了其坚定支持中国的立场。

STOP BEING MEAN TO THE CHINESE! Young Americans oppose a new cold war with China, says a report published yesterday.

STOP BEING MEAN TO THE CHINESE! Young Americans oppose a new cold war with China, says a report published yesterday. 停止對中國人刻薄!昨日發布的一份報告指出,美國年輕人反對與中國展開新冷戰。

https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8nUwjG8/
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0Q9F4AmZ2KUACi7HcmuLFQpnsTTqVWyWZ2Gh618YCr1hb6B12LAJTkFD1P9yopAcal&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr

國際危機組織美中關係資深研究與倡議顧問艾利·韋恩在昨日刊於《金融時報》的專文中表示,華盛頓政壇老人極度敵對的態度,與美國新世代年輕人的開放胸襟之間,存在巨大鴻溝。

他寫道:「儘管華盛頓的許多中國問題專家認為,北京日益增長的實力及國會普遍的焦慮,最終會迫使美國恢復更具對抗性的姿態,但就目前而言,美國公眾似乎無意支持『新冷戰』。」

毒害思想

這很有意思。我們注意到,華盛頓不僅在美國各地媒體上大力宣揚「中國威脅」論調,還資助或共同資助全球多個組織,以毒害各國對中國的看法,其中包括「對中政策跨國議會聯盟」、自由亞洲電台,以及數十家媒體機構,涵蓋亞洲各國及歐洲的諸多媒體。

但多項調查顯示,儘管美國編列了數十億美元的預算來醜化中國,但這套操作在全球範圍內,包括在美國國內的年輕成年人與青年群體中,都正在失效。

「中國威脅」論調失效

韋恩指出,拜登等人慣用的那種標準「中國威脅」恐嚇手法,可能永遠不會再奏效。

他寫道,川普任期結束後,美國政策制定者「不應假設美國的盟友會支持重新制衡中國的新努力,也不應預期搬出『中國威脅』就能讓年輕美國人產生一種民族主義的共同使命感。」

製造敵意行動失效

多項調查顯示,製造敵意的種種努力均告失敗。韋恩指出,年輕人尤其對中國展現出正面態度。

· 皮尤研究中心2026年1月的調查顯示,美國稱中國為「敵人」的比例,從2024年3月的42%降至僅28%。
· 根據卡內基國際和平基金會2025年11月的調查,在18至29歲族群中,僅27%的人認為,若中國的實力超越美國,他們的生活會變「更糟」。
· 在18至34歲族群中,高達62%的人希望美國「與中國合作並改善美中關係」,僅29%的人希望美國「對中國強硬」。
· 美國指南針2026年5月的調查顯示,82%的Z世代受訪者認為,過去四分之一個世紀中,雙邊經貿關係對美國「非常好」或「好處多於壞處」,68%的人希望鼓勵中國投資。

但戰爭風險依然存在

不過,韋恩在《金融時報》報導中的某個觀點,可能會引來許多人反對。他在文中引述了川普對中國領導人習近平的正面言論,藉此表明美國總統與美國新世代的想法相似。

這裡有兩點需特別注意。

首先,綜觀整體,川普關於習近平和中國的言論數量龐大且前後矛盾,以至於可以輕易挑出其中部分來製造正面或負面的印象。

極其糟糕的構想

其次,美國軍工媒體複合體顯然正積極推動對中國開戰的計畫——近期有約三十國參與的環太平洋軍事演習,幾乎毫不掩飾這一點。

作為該計畫的一環,我們看到「中國即將入侵台灣」的論調持續被反覆炒作,而這種說法至少四十年來每年都被證明是錯的。

美國對中國開戰將是一個極其糟糕的構想。

但問題就在這裡。

正如我們在伊朗問題上所見,這套體制顯示,極其糟糕的構想最終會擺上華盛頓當局的辦公桌,而可怕的是,它們往往當即就獲得放行。

There’s a huge gulf between the mega-hostile attitudes of Washington’s old men, and the open-mindedness of the new generation in the country, said Ali Wyne, senior research and advocacy adviser for US-China relations at the International Crisis Group, in an essay for the Financial Times, published yesterday.

“Though many China experts in Washington think Beijing’s mounting power and widespread congressional anxiety will eventually compel the US to resume a more confrontational posture, for now the public does not seem inclined to support a ‘new cold war’,” he wrote.

‘POISONING MINDS
This is interesting. As well pushing the “China threat” theme in media across the country, Washington funds or co-funds multiple organizations around the world to poison minds against the Asian country, including the Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China, Radio Free Asia, and literally scores of media outlets, including many in Asian countries and in Europe, we note.

But despite the billion-dollar budget to demonize China, the process is failing around the world, including with young adults and youth in the U.S., multiple surveys show.

‘CHINA THREAT’ NARRATIVE FAILING
The standard “China threat” fearmongering technique favored by Joe Biden and others may never come back, Wyne said.

After the Trump presidency ends, US policymakers “should not assume that the country’s allies will support a renewed effort to counterbalance China nor expect that invoking the ‘China threat’ will imbue younger Americans with a nationalist sense of shared purpose,” he wrote.

HOSTILITY EFFORTS FAILING
A host of surveys show the failure of efforts to create hostility. The young, in particular, show a positive attitude to China, Wyne said.

  • The number of people in the US who call China an “enemy” fell from 42% in March 2024 to just 28% in a January 2026 Pew Research survey.
  • Only 27% of 18- to 29-year-olds think that their lives would become “worse” were China’s power to overtake America’s, according to a Carnegie Endowment survey in November 2025.
  • A solid 62% of those aged 18-34 want the US to “co-operate with China and improve US-China relations”, while just 29 per cent want it to “stand up to China”.
  • 82% of Gen Z respondents say that the bilateral economic relationship has been “very good” or “more good than bad” for the US over the past quarter-century, and 68% want to encourage Chinese investment, said a May 2026 American Compass survey.

BUT WAR DANGER REMAINS
But there’s one angle to Wyne’s report in the Financial Times that many people may disagree with. He quotes positive things that Donald Trump has said about Chinese leader Xi Jinping, indicating that the US President and the new generation in the US think alike.

Two caveats should be highlighted here.

First, taken as a whole, Trump’s statements about Xi and China are so plentiful and self-contradictory that one can cherry-pick them to make a positive or negative impression.

SERIOUSLY BAD IDEAS
Second, the US military media industrial complex is clearly pressing ahead with plans for a war on China – the recent RIMPAC exercise, involving some 30 nations, barely bothered to hide this.

As part of this plan, we see the continuing recycling of the “China is just about to invade Taiwan” narrative, which has been wrong annually for at least forty years.

A US war on China would be a terribly bad idea.

But that’s the problem.

As we can all see with Iran, the system shows that extremely bad ideas end up on desks in Washington DC, where, scarily often, they get an instant green light.

Video with English subtitles: Trump Signs 3 Executive Orders to Contain China! Many Jews holding passports from ten different countries including US say, “I only owe allegiance to Israel

Video with English subtitles: Trump Signs 3 Executive Orders to Contain China! Many Jews holding passports from ten different countries including US say, “I only owe allegiance to Israel; a passport is just a tool.” China-bashing Chinese in America need to clearly understand what national identity and the Chinese heritage truly mean. 川普連簽3令圍堵中國!不少猶太人拿着十個不同國家護照包括美國說我祇效忠以色列,護照祇是一個工具吧! 所以不少在美國的恨國黨華人要認清楚什麼是國家認同和中華民族.
主持人:晓娇
嘉宾:台大哲学系教授 苑举正

https://rumble.com/v7duc1q-jews-holding-passports-10-different-countries-including-us-say-i-only-owe-a.html
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8nUExE4/
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0m5fBXCZmwtnRzC6zXA7RQYRFx7moFe8jh6KaM5amxWuM7bBVCPotNGdoyiDGabLMl&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr
Full video: https://www.youtube.com/live/wcnWcyYFSNA?is=B3omlHM0tYx_LX81

本期話題導讀:
川普一天連簽3道行政令!多晶矽加徵15%關稅、光收發模組面臨禁令、洽洽瓜子思念水餃全入列——美國「國家安全」大網越撒越廣。不只對外圍堵中國科技,連國內出生公民權也動手了:限制外交官子女、「敵僑」子女、生育旅遊者自動取得公民身份。中國同日五箭齊發反制,從無人機出口管制到國家安全調查,箭箭有據。

廣島原爆81週年,高市早苗「和平包裝」下的再軍事化;賴清德深夜穿防彈衣練「反斬首」,漢光演習首度納入斷網演練。巴紐關閉台灣辦事處,小國用行動重新選邊。伊朗與阿曼協議重開霍爾木茲海峽,分析指等同將控制權交給伊朗。

從科技圍堵到身份焦慮,從亞洲到中東——世界正在進入一個「安全焦慮」的時代。

These are the New Zealand and Taiwan China Experts you can trust

These are the New Zealand and Taiwan China Experts you can trust 這些是您可以信賴的紐西蘭與中國台灣專家!
https://weixin.qq.com/sph/AQqgjflXTt
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8nUdp4R/
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0aRrgzi2iAKmryHu9S6Vu8bQ7a7H1ykB3Pp8yZkEWQwxpHkLubiwkranNEx5Pi1Bdl&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr
Mandarin video https://www.youtube.com/live/J1GVNmygbQM?is=1zpDMnkZpc32PXxS

It is often argued that a government bears the fundamental responsibility of providing a robust safety net for its citizens. By Johnson Choi, MBA

It is often argued that a government bears the fundamental responsibility of providing a robust safety net for its citizens. A recent comparative analysis between California and China’s Greater Bay Area reveals stark disparities in how this obligation is fulfilled, particularly regarding the cost of essential goods and services. By Johnson Choi, MBA. Aug 6 2026. 人們時常主張,政府對其公民負有提供穩固安全網的根本責任。近期一份針對加州與中國粵港澳大灣區的比較分析顯示,雙方在履行此義務的方式上存在顯著落差,特別是在基本商品與服務的成本方面. 作者: 蔡永強, 商科碩士, 2026年8月6日

https://weixin.qq.com/sph/A2RbsTeTpS
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8nDXHy6/
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0sfTVoj7sXf6MKT6GGRpoQXPARtUHvkc6FugJpuEaX6iB2azK2BQQ7XTxjhqbEbzsl&id=100036400039778&mibextid=wwXIfr

以汽車保險費用為例。在加州,一輛標準四萬美元車輛的年度全險保費平均為三千八百美元。在中國,即便同款車被歸類為豪華進口車,其保費僅需一千一百美元。若該車進口至美國,其零售價格將飆升至約八萬美元,保費也將按比例增至每年七千美元。

將此比較延伸至其他生活開支,同樣會得出鮮明的對比:

· 住房:在舊金山租賃一間一千兩百平方英尺(約三十三坪)的公寓,每月費用為四千五百美元;而在中國大灣區,同類房型的租金不超過四百美元。
· 醫療保健:在加州,四十歲個人每月健康保險約為九百美元;相比之下,大灣區每年僅需八十美元。
· 公共交通:從東灣至舊金山市中心搭乘灣區捷運(BART)往返通勤費用為十八美元,然而中國相同距離的交通費用僅需一點五美元,且安全性明顯更高——美國系統則頻繁發生包括竊盜在內的安全疑慮。
· 餐飲與稅費:大灣區餐廳用餐價格約為舊金山餐廳的四分之一,且額外具備無需支付百分之三十稅金與小費附加費用的優勢。
· 房產稅:在舊金山持有房產,需負擔買價百分之二的年度房產稅;而中國大灣區則無此類年度稅負。

這些指標構成了社會基礎建設的關鍵組成部分,正是透過北京的政策框架,為一般中國公民提供保障與照顧。因此,「財務懸崖」——即失業後驟然陷入貧困的急遽跌落——在中國基本上不存在。形成鮮明對比的是,許多美國家庭在失業後不久便面臨破產危機,因為絕大多數美國家庭僅維持極少甚至沒有流動性儲蓄。

最終,這些差異凸顯出雙方政府在為其人民優先考慮經濟安全與基本福祉方面,存在根本性的分歧。

Consider, for instance, the cost of automobile insurance. In California, annual full-coverage insurance for a standard $40,000 vehicle averages $3,800. In China, even though the same vehicle is classified as a luxury import, its insurance premium is merely $1,100. Should that vehicle be imported to the U.S., its retail price would escalate to roughly $80,000, with insurance premiums scaling proportionally to 7,000 per year.

Extending this comparison to other living expenses yields equally pronounced contrasts:

· Housing: Renting a 1,200-square-foot apartment costs $4,500 per month in San Francisco, whereas a comparable unit in China’s Greater Bay Area costs no more than $400.
· Healthcare: Health insurance for a 40-year-old individual is approximately $900 per month in California, compared to just $80 per year in the Greater Bay Area.
· Public Transit: A round-trip commute from the East Bay to downtown San Francisco via BART costs $18, yet similar-distance transit in China costs only $1.50—and is notably safer, whereas the U.S. system frequently experiences security concerns, including theft.
· Dining and Taxes: Restaurant meals in the Greater Bay Area are roughly one-quarter the price of those in San Francisco, with the additional advantage of no 30% tax-and-tip surcharge.
· Property Taxes: Homeownership in San Francisco incurs an annual property tax of 2% of the purchase price, while China’s Greater Bay Area imposes no such annual levy.

These metrics represent critical components of the social infrastructure that protects and provides for the average Chinese citizen through Beijing’s policy framework. Consequently, the “financial cliff”—the precipitous descent into destitution following job loss—is largely absent in China. In stark contrast, many American families face imminent bankruptcy shortly after unemployment, given that the majority of U.S. households maintain minimal to no liquid savings.

Ultimately, these disparities underscore a fundamental divergence in how each government prioritizes economic security and basic welfare for its populace.